Melissa Bean holds a commanding position in the Illinois 8th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its suburban Chicago footprint across Cook, DuPage, and Kane counties and longstanding voting patterns. The open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, featured Bean’s March 2026 primary victory as a moderate former representative with broad establishment support and fundraising strength. Jennifer Davis emerged from the Republican primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by forecasters. Traders price Bean’s win probability near 94 percent based on these fundamentals, with limited movement absent major national shifts, turnout anomalies, or unforeseen candidate developments before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-08 House Election Winner
IL-08 House Election Winner
$21,818 ปริมาณ
$21,818 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Melissa Bean (D)
95%
Jennifer Davis (R)
6%
$21,818 ปริมาณ
$21,818 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Melissa Bean (D)
$9,791 ปริมาณ
95%
Jennifer Davis (R)
$12,027 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean holds a commanding position in the Illinois 8th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its suburban Chicago footprint across Cook, DuPage, and Kane counties and longstanding voting patterns. The open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, featured Bean’s March 2026 primary victory as a moderate former representative with broad establishment support and fundraising strength. Jennifer Davis emerged from the Republican primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by forecasters. Traders price Bean’s win probability near 94 percent based on these fundamentals, with limited movement absent major national shifts, turnout anomalies, or unforeseen candidate developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,818วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Melissa Bean holds a commanding position in the Illinois 8th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its suburban Chicago footprint across Cook, DuPage, and Kane counties and longstanding voting patterns. The open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, featured Bean’s March 2026 primary victory as a moderate former representative with broad establishment support and fundraising strength. Jennifer Davis emerged from the Republican primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by forecasters. Traders price Bean’s win probability near 94 percent based on these fundamentals, with limited movement absent major national shifts, turnout anomalies, or unforeseen candidate developments before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,818วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Melissa Bean holds a commanding position in the Illinois 8th congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its suburban Chicago footprint across Cook, DuPage, and Kane counties and longstanding voting patterns. The open seat, vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi’s Senate bid, featured Bean’s March 2026 primary victory as a moderate former representative with broad establishment support and fundraising strength. Jennifer Davis emerged from the Republican primary but faces structural disadvantages in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by forecasters. Traders price Bean’s win probability near 94 percent based on these fundamentals, with limited movement absent major national shifts, turnout anomalies, or unforeseen candidate developments before the November 3 general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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