Aaron Flint leads trader consensus in the Montana 1st congressional district race at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting the open seat's Republican tilt after incumbent Ryan Zinke declined to run again. The district, which Trump carried by double digits in 2024, favors the GOP nominee following Flint's primary victory with early Trump endorsement and Zinke's backing. Democrat Sam Forstag, a smokejumper and union leader who won his party's nomination, maintains 37.5% amid strong labor support and visibility in Democratic strongholds such as Missoula and Bozeman. June 2026 primary results and subsequent fundraising reports showing near parity have kept the contest within the Cook Political Report's Likely Republican rating, though limited polling indicates room for movement based on turnout and messaging on economic issues ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
$11,120 ปริมาณ
$11,120 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Aaron Flint (R)
63%
Sam Forstag (D)
38%
$11,120 ปริมาณ
$11,120 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Aaron Flint (R)
$6,168 ปริมาณ
63%
Sam Forstag (D)
$4,952 ปริมาณ
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Flint leads trader consensus in the Montana 1st congressional district race at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting the open seat's Republican tilt after incumbent Ryan Zinke declined to run again. The district, which Trump carried by double digits in 2024, favors the GOP nominee following Flint's primary victory with early Trump endorsement and Zinke's backing. Democrat Sam Forstag, a smokejumper and union leader who won his party's nomination, maintains 37.5% amid strong labor support and visibility in Democratic strongholds such as Missoula and Bozeman. June 2026 primary results and subsequent fundraising reports showing near parity have kept the contest within the Cook Political Report's Likely Republican rating, though limited polling indicates room for movement based on turnout and messaging on economic issues ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,120วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Flint leads trader consensus in the Montana 1st congressional district race at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting the open seat's Republican tilt after incumbent Ryan Zinke declined to run again. The district, which Trump carried by double digits in 2024, favors the GOP nominee following Flint's primary victory with early Trump endorsement and Zinke's backing. Democrat Sam Forstag, a smokejumper and union leader who won his party's nomination, maintains 37.5% amid strong labor support and visibility in Democratic strongholds such as Missoula and Bozeman. June 2026 primary results and subsequent fundraising reports showing near parity have kept the contest within the Cook Political Report's Likely Republican rating, though limited polling indicates room for movement based on turnout and messaging on economic issues ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,120วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Aaron Flint leads trader consensus in the Montana 1st congressional district race at 62.5% implied probability, reflecting the open seat's Republican tilt after incumbent Ryan Zinke declined to run again. The district, which Trump carried by double digits in 2024, favors the GOP nominee following Flint's primary victory with early Trump endorsement and Zinke's backing. Democrat Sam Forstag, a smokejumper and union leader who won his party's nomination, maintains 37.5% amid strong labor support and visibility in Democratic strongholds such as Missoula and Bozeman. June 2026 primary results and subsequent fundraising reports showing near parity have kept the contest within the Cook Political Report's Likely Republican rating, though limited polling indicates room for movement based on turnout and messaging on economic issues ahead of the November general election.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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