Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after topping a crowded June primary and prevailing in the August runoff against Jackson Lahmeyer. The Tulsa-area seat carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in the district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and the prior incumbent’s 60-point margin in 2024. Tedford’s established state legislative record, superior fundraising exceeding $1.4 million, and broad party support have consolidated trader expectations ahead of the November general election against Democrat John Croisant, who advanced unopposed but raised under $150,000. With the general election still two months away, late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift remain the primary factors that could narrow the current 92.5% implied probability for Tedford.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วOK-01 House Election Winner
OK-01 House Election Winner
$32,704 ปริมาณ
$32,704 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Tedford (R)
93%
John Croisant (D)
9%
$32,704 ปริมาณ
$32,704 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Mark Tedford (R)
$19,849 ปริมาณ
93%
John Croisant (D)
$12,855 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after topping a crowded June primary and prevailing in the August runoff against Jackson Lahmeyer. The Tulsa-area seat carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in the district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and the prior incumbent’s 60-point margin in 2024. Tedford’s established state legislative record, superior fundraising exceeding $1.4 million, and broad party support have consolidated trader expectations ahead of the November general election against Democrat John Croisant, who advanced unopposed but raised under $150,000. With the general election still two months away, late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift remain the primary factors that could narrow the current 92.5% implied probability for Tedford.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,704วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after topping a crowded June primary and prevailing in the August runoff against Jackson Lahmeyer. The Tulsa-area seat carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in the district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and the prior incumbent’s 60-point margin in 2024. Tedford’s established state legislative record, superior fundraising exceeding $1.4 million, and broad party support have consolidated trader expectations ahead of the November general election against Democrat John Croisant, who advanced unopposed but raised under $150,000. With the general election still two months away, late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift remain the primary factors that could narrow the current 92.5% implied probability for Tedford.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$32,704วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after topping a crowded June primary and prevailing in the August runoff against Jackson Lahmeyer. The Tulsa-area seat carries a strong Republican lean, reflected in the district’s R+11 Partisan Voter Index and the prior incumbent’s 60-point margin in 2024. Tedford’s established state legislative record, superior fundraising exceeding $1.4 million, and broad party support have consolidated trader expectations ahead of the November general election against Democrat John Croisant, who advanced unopposed but raised under $150,000. With the general election still two months away, late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift remain the primary factors that could narrow the current 92.5% implied probability for Tedford.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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