Recent U.S. goods and services trade data show the monthly deficit widening to $88.6 billion in July 2026 from $71.2 billion in June, driven by higher imports of computers and semiconductors alongside lower exports of energy products, while year-to-date figures through July improved 29.6% versus 2025 amid the reversal of 2025 tariff-related stockpiling. The February 2026 Supreme Court ruling striking down IEEPA tariffs lowered the effective rate by more than half, boosting import volumes and contributing to CBO estimates of higher primary deficits, though Section 301 and 232 measures plus ongoing negotiations with Canada continue to shape flows. AI-related capital goods imports remain a key support for overall trade growth. With the 700–900 billion outcome band holding roughly 78% implied probability, trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether policy-driven import moderation or broader macroeconomic demand will dominate the full-year total, ahead of August data due October 6.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUS Trade Deficit in 2026?
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
$24,106 ปริมาณ
$24,106 ปริมาณ
Feb 27, 2027
<500B
3%
500–600B
6%
600–700B
10%
700–800B
37%
800–900B
42%
900B–1T
14%
1T–1.1T
5%
1.1T+
5%
$24,106 ปริมาณ
$24,106 ปริมาณ
Feb 27, 2027
<500B
$16,854 ปริมาณ
3%
500–600B
$454 ปริมาณ
6%
600–700B
$543 ปริมาณ
10%
700–800B
$670 ปริมาณ
37%
800–900B
$1,529 ปริมาณ
42%
900B–1T
$1,469 ปริมาณ
14%
1T–1.1T
$1,468 ปริมาณ
5%
1.1T+
$1,119 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent U.S. goods and services trade data show the monthly deficit widening to $88.6 billion in July 2026 from $71.2 billion in June, driven by higher imports of computers and semiconductors alongside lower exports of energy products, while year-to-date figures through July improved 29.6% versus 2025 amid the reversal of 2025 tariff-related stockpiling. The February 2026 Supreme Court ruling striking down IEEPA tariffs lowered the effective rate by more than half, boosting import volumes and contributing to CBO estimates of higher primary deficits, though Section 301 and 232 measures plus ongoing negotiations with Canada continue to shape flows. AI-related capital goods imports remain a key support for overall trade growth. With the 700–900 billion outcome band holding roughly 78% implied probability, trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether policy-driven import moderation or broader macroeconomic demand will dominate the full-year total, ahead of August data due October 6.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,106วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 28, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent U.S. goods and services trade data show the monthly deficit widening to $88.6 billion in July 2026 from $71.2 billion in June, driven by higher imports of computers and semiconductors alongside lower exports of energy products, while year-to-date figures through July improved 29.6% versus 2025 amid the reversal of 2025 tariff-related stockpiling. The February 2026 Supreme Court ruling striking down IEEPA tariffs lowered the effective rate by more than half, boosting import volumes and contributing to CBO estimates of higher primary deficits, though Section 301 and 232 measures plus ongoing negotiations with Canada continue to shape flows. AI-related capital goods imports remain a key support for overall trade growth. With the 700–900 billion outcome band holding roughly 78% implied probability, trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether policy-driven import moderation or broader macroeconomic demand will dominate the full-year total, ahead of August data due October 6.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,106วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 28, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. goods and services trade data show the monthly deficit widening to $88.6 billion in July 2026 from $71.2 billion in June, driven by higher imports of computers and semiconductors alongside lower exports of energy products, while year-to-date figures through July improved 29.6% versus 2025 amid the reversal of 2025 tariff-related stockpiling. The February 2026 Supreme Court ruling striking down IEEPA tariffs lowered the effective rate by more than half, boosting import volumes and contributing to CBO estimates of higher primary deficits, though Section 301 and 232 measures plus ongoing negotiations with Canada continue to shape flows. AI-related capital goods imports remain a key support for overall trade growth. With the 700–900 billion outcome band holding roughly 78% implied probability, trader positioning reflects uncertainty over whether policy-driven import moderation or broader macroeconomic demand will dominate the full-year total, ahead of August data due October 6.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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