Strava’s most recent private valuation of $2.2 billion from its May 2025 funding round anchors trader expectations, yet the 4B–5B outcome leads at 39.5% because markets anticipate a typical IPO premium once the company prices amid strong fitness-app momentum and subscription growth. The confidential S-1 filed in early 2026 and the missed spring window have introduced timing uncertainty, keeping probabilities for sub-$3B or 15B+ outcomes in the teens or lower. Recent moves such as adding board member Barry McCarthy and tightening API access signal IPO preparation without new public revenue figures to justify a sharp re-rating. Traders weigh these steps against broader consumer-tech sentiment and conversion rates from Strava’s large free user base when assessing first-day market cap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоStrava IPO Closing Market Cap
Strava IPO Closing Market Cap
2B–3B 20%
15B+ 14.0%
10B–15B 5.0%
3B–4B 2.9%
$91,038 Обс.
$91,038 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
<2B
2%
2B–3B
20%
3B–4B
3%
4B–5B
39%
5B–7B
<1%
7B–10B
<1%
10B–15B
5%
15B+
12%
No IPO before 2028
1%
2B–3B 20%
15B+ 14.0%
10B–15B 5.0%
3B–4B 2.9%
$91,038 Обс.
$91,038 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
<2B
$977 Обс.
2%
2B–3B
$54,549 Обс.
20%
3B–4B
$27,813 Обс.
3%
4B–5B
$1,422 Обс.
39%
5B–7B
$1,044 Обс.
<1%
7B–10B
$1,226 Обс.
<1%
10B–15B
$1,776 Обс.
5%
15B+
$1,464 Обс.
12%
No IPO before 2028
$767 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s most recent private valuation of $2.2 billion from its May 2025 funding round anchors trader expectations, yet the 4B–5B outcome leads at 39.5% because markets anticipate a typical IPO premium once the company prices amid strong fitness-app momentum and subscription growth. The confidential S-1 filed in early 2026 and the missed spring window have introduced timing uncertainty, keeping probabilities for sub-$3B or 15B+ outcomes in the teens or lower. Recent moves such as adding board member Barry McCarthy and tightening API access signal IPO preparation without new public revenue figures to justify a sharp re-rating. Traders weigh these steps against broader consumer-tech sentiment and conversion rates from Strava’s large free user base when assessing first-day market cap.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$91,038Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2028Ринок відкрито
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Strava’s most recent private valuation of $2.2 billion from its May 2025 funding round anchors trader expectations, yet the 4B–5B outcome leads at 39.5% because markets anticipate a typical IPO premium once the company prices amid strong fitness-app momentum and subscription growth. The confidential S-1 filed in early 2026 and the missed spring window have introduced timing uncertainty, keeping probabilities for sub-$3B or 15B+ outcomes in the teens or lower. Recent moves such as adding board member Barry McCarthy and tightening API access signal IPO preparation without new public revenue figures to justify a sharp re-rating. Traders weigh these steps against broader consumer-tech sentiment and conversion rates from Strava’s large free user base when assessing first-day market cap.
This market will resolve based on Strava's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no Strava IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Strava’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Обсяг
$91,038Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2028Ринок відкрито
Jan 14, 2026, 5:30 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Strava’s most recent private valuation of $2.2 billion from its May 2025 funding round anchors trader expectations, yet the 4B–5B outcome leads at 39.5% because markets anticipate a typical IPO premium once the company prices amid strong fitness-app momentum and subscription growth. The confidential S-1 filed in early 2026 and the missed spring window have introduced timing uncertainty, keeping probabilities for sub-$3B or 15B+ outcomes in the teens or lower. Recent moves such as adding board member Barry McCarthy and tightening API access signal IPO preparation without new public revenue figures to justify a sharp re-rating. Traders weigh these steps against broader consumer-tech sentiment and conversion rates from Strava’s large free user base when assessing first-day market cap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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