Redistricting shifted Texas's 35th Congressional District toward Republicans, with the new lines reflecting a Trump margin near 10 points from 2024. Nominees Johnny Garcia for Democrats and Carlos De La Cruz for Republicans emerged from May runoffs after competitive primaries. A late-August poll showed De La Cruz at 45% and Garcia at 44% with 11% undecided, underscoring a tight general election contest ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus reflects this competitiveness and midterm dynamics, assigning the Democratic Party a modest lead in implied probability while acknowledging structural factors and the narrow polling gap that could shift with turnout or late developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-35 House Election Winner
TX-35 House Election Winner
$13,583 Обс.
$13,583 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
56%
Republican Party
45%
$13,583 Обс.
$13,583 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,875 Обс.
56%
Republican Party
$6,708 Обс.
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting shifted Texas's 35th Congressional District toward Republicans, with the new lines reflecting a Trump margin near 10 points from 2024. Nominees Johnny Garcia for Democrats and Carlos De La Cruz for Republicans emerged from May runoffs after competitive primaries. A late-August poll showed De La Cruz at 45% and Garcia at 44% with 11% undecided, underscoring a tight general election contest ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus reflects this competitiveness and midterm dynamics, assigning the Democratic Party a modest lead in implied probability while acknowledging structural factors and the narrow polling gap that could shift with turnout or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$13,583Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting shifted Texas's 35th Congressional District toward Republicans, with the new lines reflecting a Trump margin near 10 points from 2024. Nominees Johnny Garcia for Democrats and Carlos De La Cruz for Republicans emerged from May runoffs after competitive primaries. A late-August poll showed De La Cruz at 45% and Garcia at 44% with 11% undecided, underscoring a tight general election contest ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus reflects this competitiveness and midterm dynamics, assigning the Democratic Party a modest lead in implied probability while acknowledging structural factors and the narrow polling gap that could shift with turnout or late developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$13,583Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting shifted Texas's 35th Congressional District toward Republicans, with the new lines reflecting a Trump margin near 10 points from 2024. Nominees Johnny Garcia for Democrats and Carlos De La Cruz for Republicans emerged from May runoffs after competitive primaries. A late-August poll showed De La Cruz at 45% and Garcia at 44% with 11% undecided, underscoring a tight general election contest ahead of the November 3 vote. Trader consensus reflects this competitiveness and midterm dynamics, assigning the Democratic Party a modest lead in implied probability while acknowledging structural factors and the narrow polling gap that could shift with turnout or late developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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