Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote in California's 16th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's strong partisan baseline, demonstrated by a wide 2024 presidential margin favoring Democrats, combined with Liccardo's substantial fundraising advantage and name recognition from prior service as San Jose mayor, underpins trader consensus on his general election prospects against Republican Peter Soule on November 3. Soule secured second place in the primary but trails significantly in resources and visibility. While late developments such as candidate health issues or national economic shifts could theoretically alter dynamics, the district's structural lean and primary results have produced limited movement in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$107,000 交易量
$107,000 交易量
2026-11-02
萨姆·利卡多（民主党）
98%
Peter Soulé（共和党）
2%
$107,000 交易量
$107,000 交易量
2026-11-02
萨姆·利卡多（民主党）
$52,842 交易量
98%
Peter Soulé（共和党）
$54,158 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote in California's 16th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's strong partisan baseline, demonstrated by a wide 2024 presidential margin favoring Democrats, combined with Liccardo's substantial fundraising advantage and name recognition from prior service as San Jose mayor, underpins trader consensus on his general election prospects against Republican Peter Soule on November 3. Soule secured second place in the primary but trails significantly in resources and visibility. While late developments such as candidate health issues or national economic shifts could theoretically alter dynamics, the district's structural lean and primary results have produced limited movement in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$107,000结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote in California's 16th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's strong partisan baseline, demonstrated by a wide 2024 presidential margin favoring Democrats, combined with Liccardo's substantial fundraising advantage and name recognition from prior service as San Jose mayor, underpins trader consensus on his general election prospects against Republican Peter Soule on November 3. Soule secured second place in the primary but trails significantly in resources and visibility. While late developments such as candidate health issues or national economic shifts could theoretically alter dynamics, the district's structural lean and primary results have produced limited movement in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$107,000结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETSam Liccardo, the Democratic incumbent, advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 76 percent of the vote in California's 16th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid Democratic by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district's strong partisan baseline, demonstrated by a wide 2024 presidential margin favoring Democrats, combined with Liccardo's substantial fundraising advantage and name recognition from prior service as San Jose mayor, underpins trader consensus on his general election prospects against Republican Peter Soule on November 3. Soule secured second place in the primary but trails significantly in resources and visibility. While late developments such as candidate health issues or national economic shifts could theoretically alter dynamics, the district's structural lean and primary results have produced limited movement in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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