**Stable high-pressure conditions and typical Mediterranean late-summer patterns position 23–25 °C as the most probable range for Tel Aviv’s lowest temperature on September 1.** Numerical weather models, including runs from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS, indicate clear to partly cloudy skies overnight with light southeasterly to northwesterly winds of 2–6 m/s. These allow modest radiative cooling while sea-surface temperatures near 27–28 °C and elevated humidity (80–90 % at dawn) limit further drops. Forecast minimums cluster between 23 °C and 26 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (24 °C at 43.5 %, 25 °C at 27.0 %, 23 °C at 25.5 %). Historical early-September climatology for Tel Aviv shows average overnight lows near 25–26 °C, providing a baseline that current guidance largely matches. No incoming fronts, significant moisture surges, or model divergences are evident in the latest 24–48 hour updates, supporting the tight distribution of implied probabilities around these values. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of operational forecasts and the absence of unusual cooling mechanisms when assigning the highest likelihood to 24 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日特拉维夫最低气温？
9月1日特拉维夫最低气温？
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
23°C 49%
19°C or below 46%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
19°C or below
46%
20°C
1%
21°C
9%
22°C
26%
23°C
27%
24°C
30%
25°C
27%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 50%
25°C 50%
23°C 49%
19°C or below 46%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
19°C or below
$285 交易量
46%
20°C
$49 交易量
1%
21°C
$31 交易量
9%
22°C
$0 交易量
26%
23°C
$36 交易量
27%
24°C
$10 交易量
30%
25°C
$6 交易量
27%
26°C
$39 交易量
5%
27°C
$94 交易量
1%
28°C
$10 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$350 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and typical Mediterranean late-summer patterns position 23–25 °C as the most probable range for Tel Aviv’s lowest temperature on September 1.**
Numerical weather models, including runs from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS, indicate clear to partly cloudy skies overnight with light southeasterly to northwesterly winds of 2–6 m/s. These allow modest radiative cooling while sea-surface temperatures near 27–28 °C and elevated humidity (80–90 % at dawn) limit further drops. Forecast minimums cluster between 23 °C and 26 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (24 °C at 43.5 %, 25 °C at 27.0 %, 23 °C at 25.5 %).
Historical early-September climatology for Tel Aviv shows average overnight lows near 25–26 °C, providing a baseline that current guidance largely matches. No incoming fronts, significant moisture surges, or model divergences are evident in the latest 24–48 hour updates, supporting the tight distribution of implied probabilities around these values. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of operational forecasts and the absence of unusual cooling mechanisms when assigning the highest likelihood to 24 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$909结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and typical Mediterranean late-summer patterns position 23–25 °C as the most probable range for Tel Aviv’s lowest temperature on September 1.**
Numerical weather models, including runs from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS, indicate clear to partly cloudy skies overnight with light southeasterly to northwesterly winds of 2–6 m/s. These allow modest radiative cooling while sea-surface temperatures near 27–28 °C and elevated humidity (80–90 % at dawn) limit further drops. Forecast minimums cluster between 23 °C and 26 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (24 °C at 43.5 %, 25 °C at 27.0 %, 23 °C at 25.5 %).
Historical early-September climatology for Tel Aviv shows average overnight lows near 25–26 °C, providing a baseline that current guidance largely matches. No incoming fronts, significant moisture surges, or model divergences are evident in the latest 24–48 hour updates, supporting the tight distribution of implied probabilities around these values. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of operational forecasts and the absence of unusual cooling mechanisms when assigning the highest likelihood to 24 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$909结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Stable high-pressure conditions and typical Mediterranean late-summer patterns position 23–25 °C as the most probable range for Tel Aviv’s lowest temperature on September 1.** Numerical weather models, including runs from sources such as the ECMWF and GFS, indicate clear to partly cloudy skies overnight with light southeasterly to northwesterly winds of 2–6 m/s. These allow modest radiative cooling while sea-surface temperatures near 27–28 °C and elevated humidity (80–90 % at dawn) limit further drops. Forecast minimums cluster between 23 °C and 26 °C, aligning closely with the market’s leading outcomes (24 °C at 43.5 %, 25 °C at 27.0 %, 23 °C at 25.5 %). Historical early-September climatology for Tel Aviv shows average overnight lows near 25–26 °C, providing a baseline that current guidance largely matches. No incoming fronts, significant moisture surges, or model divergences are evident in the latest 24–48 hour updates, supporting the tight distribution of implied probabilities around these values. Traders appear to be weighting the consensus of operational forecasts and the absence of unusual cooling mechanisms when assigning the highest likelihood to 24 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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