Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez holds a commanding position in New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District race due to his established incumbency, superior fundraising of roughly $3.78 million compared to Republican Greg Cunningham's $1.51 million as of June 2026, and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Cunningham secured the GOP nomination in the June primary and benefits from the district's support for President Trump in 2024, along with recent endorsements and a visit from House Speaker Mike Johnson. A late August SurveyUSA poll showed Vasquez leading 46% to 43% with 11% undecided, underscoring a competitive environment where public safety and voter turnout among key groups like Latinos and women could influence the November 3 outcome. Trader consensus appears to weigh Vasquez's structural edges more heavily than polling volatility at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$33,424 交易量
$33,424 交易量
2026-11-03
加布·巴斯克斯（民主党）
89%
格雷格·坎宁安（共和党）
12%
$33,424 交易量
$33,424 交易量
2026-11-03
加布·巴斯克斯（民主党）
$14,234 交易量
89%
格雷格·坎宁安（共和党）
$19,191 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez holds a commanding position in New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District race due to his established incumbency, superior fundraising of roughly $3.78 million compared to Republican Greg Cunningham's $1.51 million as of June 2026, and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Cunningham secured the GOP nomination in the June primary and benefits from the district's support for President Trump in 2024, along with recent endorsements and a visit from House Speaker Mike Johnson. A late August SurveyUSA poll showed Vasquez leading 46% to 43% with 11% undecided, underscoring a competitive environment where public safety and voter turnout among key groups like Latinos and women could influence the November 3 outcome. Trader consensus appears to weigh Vasquez's structural edges more heavily than polling volatility at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市场开放时间： Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
交易量
$33,424结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez holds a commanding position in New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District race due to his established incumbency, superior fundraising of roughly $3.78 million compared to Republican Greg Cunningham's $1.51 million as of June 2026, and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Cunningham secured the GOP nomination in the June primary and benefits from the district's support for President Trump in 2024, along with recent endorsements and a visit from House Speaker Mike Johnson. A late August SurveyUSA poll showed Vasquez leading 46% to 43% with 11% undecided, underscoring a competitive environment where public safety and voter turnout among key groups like Latinos and women could influence the November 3 outcome. Trader consensus appears to weigh Vasquez's structural edges more heavily than polling volatility at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$33,424结束日期
2026-11-04市场开放时间
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETIncumbent Democrat Gabe Vasquez holds a commanding position in New Mexico's 2nd Congressional District race due to his established incumbency, superior fundraising of roughly $3.78 million compared to Republican Greg Cunningham's $1.51 million as of June 2026, and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles. Cunningham secured the GOP nomination in the June primary and benefits from the district's support for President Trump in 2024, along with recent endorsements and a visit from House Speaker Mike Johnson. A late August SurveyUSA poll showed Vasquez leading 46% to 43% with 11% undecided, underscoring a competitive environment where public safety and voter turnout among key groups like Latinos and women could influence the November 3 outcome. Trader consensus appears to weigh Vasquez's structural edges more heavily than polling volatility at this stage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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