The August 2026 ISM Services PMI release at 55.4, exceeding consensus expectations of 54.3 and July’s 54.1 reading, anchors the near-certain 100% market-implied probability in the 55.0–55.9 bucket. Services activity expanded for the 26th straight month, supported by faster gains in business activity (61.7) and new orders (60.9), alongside rising inventories and backlogs, even as employment contracted further and the prices index hit a multi-year high of 72.6 amid tariff and energy cost pressures. This outcome aligns with the broader post-July stabilization in services data and reinforces the market’s skin-in-the-game consensus on moderate expansion. A material revision to the headline figure or an unexpected contraction in new orders would be the primary scenarios capable of shifting resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado55.0–55.9 100.0%
<50.0 <1%
50.0–50.9 <1%
51.0–51.9 <1%
$56,989 Vol.
$56,989 Vol.
3 sep 2026
<50.0
No
50.0–50.9
No
51.0–51.9
No
52.0–52.9
No
53.0–53.9
No
54.0–54.9
No
55.0–55.9
Yes
56.0–56.9
No
57.0–57.9
No
58.0+
No
55.0–55.9 100.0%
<50.0 <1%
50.0–50.9 <1%
51.0–51.9 <1%
$56,989 Vol.
$56,989 Vol.
3 sep 2026
<50.0
$817 Vol.
No
50.0–50.9
$866 Vol.
No
51.0–51.9
$1,028 Vol.
No
52.0–52.9
$4,575 Vol.
No
53.0–53.9
$26,972 Vol.
No
54.0–54.9
$13,189 Vol.
No
55.0–55.9
$6,339 Vol.
Yes
56.0–56.9
$1,097 Vol.
No
57.0–57.9
$1,057 Vol.
No
58.0+
$1,048 Vol.
No
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August 2026 ISM Services PMI release at 55.4, exceeding consensus expectations of 54.3 and July’s 54.1 reading, anchors the near-certain 100% market-implied probability in the 55.0–55.9 bucket. Services activity expanded for the 26th straight month, supported by faster gains in business activity (61.7) and new orders (60.9), alongside rising inventories and backlogs, even as employment contracted further and the prices index hit a multi-year high of 72.6 amid tariff and energy cost pressures. This outcome aligns with the broader post-July stabilization in services data and reinforces the market’s skin-in-the-game consensus on moderate expansion. A material revision to the headline figure or an unexpected contraction in new orders would be the primary scenarios capable of shifting resolution.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado abierto: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Volumen
$56,989Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The August 2026 ISM Services PMI release at 55.4, exceeding consensus expectations of 54.3 and July’s 54.1 reading, anchors the near-certain 100% market-implied probability in the 55.0–55.9 bucket. Services activity expanded for the 26th straight month, supported by faster gains in business activity (61.7) and new orders (60.9), alongside rising inventories and backlogs, even as employment contracted further and the prices index hit a multi-year high of 72.6 amid tariff and energy cost pressures. This outcome aligns with the broader post-July stabilization in services data and reinforces the market’s skin-in-the-game consensus on moderate expansion. A material revision to the headline figure or an unexpected contraction in new orders would be the primary scenarios capable of shifting resolution.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volumen
$56,989Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The August 2026 ISM Services PMI release at 55.4, exceeding consensus expectations of 54.3 and July’s 54.1 reading, anchors the near-certain 100% market-implied probability in the 55.0–55.9 bucket. Services activity expanded for the 26th straight month, supported by faster gains in business activity (61.7) and new orders (60.9), alongside rising inventories and backlogs, even as employment contracted further and the prices index hit a multi-year high of 72.6 amid tariff and energy cost pressures. This outcome aligns with the broader post-July stabilization in services data and reinforces the market’s skin-in-the-game consensus on moderate expansion. A material revision to the headline figure or an unexpected contraction in new orders would be the primary scenarios capable of shifting resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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