Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary for the at-large U.S. House seat used a single ballot open to all candidates, advancing the highest vote-getters regardless of party to a November ranked-choice general election. Incumbent Republican Nick Begich led with roughly 46 percent, followed by independent Bill Hill at about 31 percent. Democrat Matt Schultz, who had polled competitively earlier, suspended his campaign in July and later withdrew, triggering adjustments that allowed Democrat Eric Hafner and Libertarian Jim McDermott to advance despite lower primary totals and limited state ties. Official results were certified shortly before the general-election filing deadline, confirming the final four amid a field of 15 candidates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$49,132 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
Nick Begich III
Yes
Gavin Solomon
No
John Williams
No
Bill Hill
Yes
Matthew "Bronco" Williams
No
Matt Schultz
No
$49,132 Vol.
Nick Begich III
$2,151 Vol.
Yes
Gavin Solomon
$5,777 Vol.
No
John Williams
$14,308 Vol.
No
Bill Hill
$4,879 Vol.
Yes
Matthew "Bronco" Williams
$4,881 Vol.
No
Matt Schultz
$17,136 Vol.
No
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary for the at-large U.S. House seat used a single ballot open to all candidates, advancing the highest vote-getters regardless of party to a November ranked-choice general election. Incumbent Republican Nick Begich led with roughly 46 percent, followed by independent Bill Hill at about 31 percent. Democrat Matt Schultz, who had polled competitively earlier, suspended his campaign in July and later withdrew, triggering adjustments that allowed Democrat Eric Hafner and Libertarian Jim McDermott to advance despite lower primary totals and limited state ties. Official results were certified shortly before the general-election filing deadline, confirming the final four amid a field of 15 candidates.
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Market Opened: May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
Volume
$49,132End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary for the at-large U.S. House seat used a single ballot open to all candidates, advancing the highest vote-getters regardless of party to a November ranked-choice general election. Incumbent Republican Nick Begich led with roughly 46 percent, followed by independent Bill Hill at about 31 percent. Democrat Matt Schultz, who had polled competitively earlier, suspended his campaign in July and later withdrew, triggering adjustments that allowed Democrat Eric Hafner and Libertarian Jim McDermott to advance despite lower primary totals and limited state ties. Official results were certified shortly before the general-election filing deadline, confirming the final four amid a field of 15 candidates.
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Volume
$49,132End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Alaska's August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary for the at-large U.S. House seat used a single ballot open to all candidates, advancing the highest vote-getters regardless of party to a November ranked-choice general election. Incumbent Republican Nick Begich led with roughly 46 percent, followed by independent Bill Hill at about 31 percent. Democrat Matt Schultz, who had polled competitively earlier, suspended his campaign in July and later withdrew, triggering adjustments that allowed Democrat Eric Hafner and Libertarian Jim McDermott to advance despite lower primary totals and limited state ties. Official results were certified shortly before the general-election filing deadline, confirming the final four amid a field of 15 candidates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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