Oliver Gilbert secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s 24th Congressional District in the August 18, 2026 primary with a narrow victory over state Sen. Shevrin Jones, aided by an endorsement from retiring Rep. Frederica Wilson. The district, covering parts of northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties with strong Democratic performance in prior cycles, rates as a safe Democratic seat across major forecasters. Republican nominee Te Mayonna Brown advanced unopposed after the GOP primary was canceled. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election include major late-breaking developments, candidate health events, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-24 House Election Winner
FL-24 House Election Winner
$33,222 Vol.
$33,222 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Oliver Gilbert (D)
96%
Te Mayonna Brown (R)
2%
$33,222 Vol.
$33,222 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Oliver Gilbert (D)
$17,503 Vol.
96%
Te Mayonna Brown (R)
$15,719 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oliver Gilbert secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s 24th Congressional District in the August 18, 2026 primary with a narrow victory over state Sen. Shevrin Jones, aided by an endorsement from retiring Rep. Frederica Wilson. The district, covering parts of northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties with strong Democratic performance in prior cycles, rates as a safe Democratic seat across major forecasters. Republican nominee Te Mayonna Brown advanced unopposed after the GOP primary was canceled. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election include major late-breaking developments, candidate health events, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$33,222End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oliver Gilbert secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s 24th Congressional District in the August 18, 2026 primary with a narrow victory over state Sen. Shevrin Jones, aided by an endorsement from retiring Rep. Frederica Wilson. The district, covering parts of northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties with strong Democratic performance in prior cycles, rates as a safe Democratic seat across major forecasters. Republican nominee Te Mayonna Brown advanced unopposed after the GOP primary was canceled. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election include major late-breaking developments, candidate health events, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$33,222End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oliver Gilbert secured the Democratic nomination for Florida’s 24th Congressional District in the August 18, 2026 primary with a narrow victory over state Sen. Shevrin Jones, aided by an endorsement from retiring Rep. Frederica Wilson. The district, covering parts of northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward counties with strong Democratic performance in prior cycles, rates as a safe Democratic seat across major forecasters. Republican nominee Te Mayonna Brown advanced unopposed after the GOP primary was canceled. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing. Scenarios that could still shift outcomes before the November 3 general election include major late-breaking developments, candidate health events, or unusually low Democratic turnout.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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