Maryland’s 7th congressional district, anchored in Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean that has produced consistent large margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advanced with minimal opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic based on voter registration, historical turnout, and limited crossover support. Trader consensus near 97 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive indicators. A meaningful shift would require an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent or a national Republican surge far exceeding typical midterm patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMD-07 House Election Winner
MD-07 House Election Winner
$24,398 Vol.
$24,398 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
2%
$24,398 Vol.
$24,398 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,273 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$9,125 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district, anchored in Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean that has produced consistent large margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advanced with minimal opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic based on voter registration, historical turnout, and limited crossover support. Trader consensus near 97 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive indicators. A meaningful shift would require an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent or a national Republican surge far exceeding typical midterm patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$24,398End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 7th congressional district, anchored in Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean that has produced consistent large margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advanced with minimal opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic based on voter registration, historical turnout, and limited crossover support. Trader consensus near 97 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive indicators. A meaningful shift would require an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent or a national Republican surge far exceeding typical midterm patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,398End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 7th congressional district, anchored in Baltimore and surrounding suburbs, maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean that has produced consistent large margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Kweisi Mfume secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote, while Republican nominee Scott Collier advanced with minimal opposition. Nonpartisan forecasters classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic based on voter registration, historical turnout, and limited crossover support. Trader consensus near 97 percent Democratic probability aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive indicators. A meaningful shift would require an unforeseen scandal involving the incumbent or a national Republican surge far exceeding typical midterm patterns.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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