Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?
Politics·Resignation

Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?

icon for Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?
Politics·Resignation

Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?

NEW
Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$3,246 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$1,925 Vol.

6%

October 31

$1,321 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert announces, on or before the date specified in the market title, 11:59 PM ET, that she has resigned or will resign as United States Representative for Colorado's 4th congressional district. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The deadline applies to the timing of the announcement, not the effective date of the resignation. An announcement made by the deadline that she will resign on a later date, including a date after the specified deadline, will qualify. If it becomes impossible for Lauren Boebert to resign or to announce her resignation (e.g., due to her removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", it is only necessary that Lauren Boebert announce that she has resigned or will resign. Whether she actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. An announcement that she will not seek re-election, or that she is ending her 2026 campaign, will not qualify on its own. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.A sworn ethics complaint filed September 17, 2026, with the House Committee on Ethics alleges Rep. Lauren Boebert maintained inappropriate relationships with three current or former aides under her supervision, including encounters in official and campaign-funded settings, and arranged a roughly $200,000 payment after one aide threatened to file a complaint. Boebert and the named individuals have rejected the claims as false and politically motivated, with no independent confirmation or committee action announced. House rules prohibit such relationships, and past similar cases have prompted resignations or investigations. Traders assessing resignation probabilities by any specific deadline will watch for committee review timelines, potential hearings, or shifts in Republican leadership pressure ahead of the next election cycle.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert announces, on or before the date specified in the market title, 11:59 PM ET, that she has resigned or will resign as United States Representative for Colorado's 4th congressional district. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The deadline applies to the timing of the announcement, not the effective date of the resignation. An announcement made by the deadline that she will resign on a later date, including a date after the specified deadline, will qualify.

If it becomes impossible for Lauren Boebert to resign or to announce her resignation (e.g., due to her removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes", it is only necessary that Lauren Boebert announce that she has resigned or will resign. Whether she actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. An announcement that she will not seek re-election, or that she is ending her 2026 campaign, will not qualify on its own.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert announces, on or before the date specified in the market title, 11:59 PM ET, that she has resigned or will resign as United States Representative for Colorado's 4th congressional district. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The deadline applies to the timing of the announcement, not the effective date of the resignation. An announcement made by the deadline that she will resign on a later date, including a date after the specified deadline, will qualify. If it becomes impossible for Lauren Boebert to resign or to announce her resignation (e.g., due to her removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", it is only necessary that Lauren Boebert announce that she has resigned or will resign. Whether she actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. An announcement that she will not seek re-election, or that she is ending her 2026 campaign, will not qualify on its own. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$3,246
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 4:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert announces, on or before the date specified in the market title, 11:59 PM ET, that she has resigned or will resign as United States Representative for Colorado's 4th congressional district. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The deadline applies to the timing of the announcement, not the effective date of the resignation. An announcement made by the deadline that she will resign on a later date, including a date after the specified deadline, will qualify. If it becomes impossible for Lauren Boebert to resign or to announce her resignation (e.g., due to her removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", it is only necessary that Lauren Boebert announce that she has resigned or will resign. Whether she actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. An announcement that she will not seek re-election, or that she is ending her 2026 campaign, will not qualify on its own. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.A sworn ethics complaint filed September 17, 2026, with the House Committee on Ethics alleges Rep. Lauren Boebert maintained inappropriate relationships with three current or former aides under her supervision, including encounters in official and campaign-funded settings, and arranged a roughly $200,000 payment after one aide threatened to file a complaint. Boebert and the named individuals have rejected the claims as false and politically motivated, with no independent confirmation or committee action announced. House rules prohibit such relationships, and past similar cases have prompted resignations or investigations. Traders assessing resignation probabilities by any specific deadline will watch for committee review timelines, potential hearings, or shifts in Republican leadership pressure ahead of the next election cycle.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert announces, on or before the date specified in the market title, 11:59 PM ET, that she has resigned or will resign as United States Representative for Colorado's 4th congressional district. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The deadline applies to the timing of the announcement, not the effective date of the resignation. An announcement made by the deadline that she will resign on a later date, including a date after the specified deadline, will qualify.

If it becomes impossible for Lauren Boebert to resign or to announce her resignation (e.g., due to her removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes", it is only necessary that Lauren Boebert announce that she has resigned or will resign. Whether she actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. An announcement that she will not seek re-election, or that she is ending her 2026 campaign, will not qualify on its own.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lauren Boebert announces, on or before the date specified in the market title, 11:59 PM ET, that she has resigned or will resign as United States Representative for Colorado's 4th congressional district. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The deadline applies to the timing of the announcement, not the effective date of the resignation. An announcement made by the deadline that she will resign on a later date, including a date after the specified deadline, will qualify. If it becomes impossible for Lauren Boebert to resign or to announce her resignation (e.g., due to her removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes", it is only necessary that Lauren Boebert announce that she has resigned or will resign. Whether she actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. An announcement that she will not seek re-election, or that she is ending her 2026 campaign, will not qualify on its own. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lauren Boebert or the United States House of Representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$3,246
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 4:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Related

icon for Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?

Will Lauren Boebert drop out of the CO-04 race?

35%
icon for Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

Lauren Boebert admits to sex with staffer before midterms?

12%
icon for Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Colorado in the 2026 midterm elections?

38%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "October 31" at 17%, followed by "September 30" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 17¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 19, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?" is "October 31" at 17%, meaning the market assigns a 17% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 30" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will Lauren Boebert resign by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.