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Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Amazonas

icon for Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Amazonas
Politica·Brasile

Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Amazonas

Lula 64%

Flavio Bolsonaro 32%

Renan Santos <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Polymarket

$20,186 Vol.

Lula 64%

Flavio Bolsonaro 32%

Renan Santos <1%

Clariana Barao <1%

Polymarket

$20,186 Vol.

icon for Lula

Lula

$6,192 Vol.

64%

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro

Flavio Bolsonaro

$5,646 Vol.

32%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$944 Vol.

<1%

icon for Clariana Barao

Clariana Barao

$823 Vol.

<1%

icon for Edmilson Costa

Edmilson Costa

$729 Vol.

<1%

icon for Scrittore Augusto Cury

Scrittore Augusto Cury

$571 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hertz Dias

Hertz Dias

$747 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pablo Marçal

Pablo Marçal

$836 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$751 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rui Costa Pimenta

Rui Costa Pimenta

$855 Vol.

<1%

icon for Samara

Samara

$542 Vol.

<1%

icon for Veterinario Wilson Grassi

Veterinario Wilson Grassi

$908 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zema

Zema

$641 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls in Amazonas show President Lula (PT) holding a narrow edge or technical tie with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) for first place in the October 2026 first round, with Lula at 38–45% and Flávio near 35–39% across Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and DMP surveys conducted in August. These results concentrate nearly 80% of intentions between the two frontrunners, leaving single-digit support for names such as Pablo Marçal, Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Augusto Cury. Lula’s advantage draws from stronger interior support and recent regional economic signals, including an offshore oil find that bolsters his development messaging in the North. Flávio’s competitiveness stems from conservative voter consolidation and prior polling leads earlier in 2026. Market pricing reflects this state-level contest amid national polarization ahead of the October 4 vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$20,186
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls in Amazonas show President Lula (PT) holding a narrow edge or technical tie with Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) for first place in the October 2026 first round, with Lula at 38–45% and Flávio near 35–39% across Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and DMP surveys conducted in August. These results concentrate nearly 80% of intentions between the two frontrunners, leaving single-digit support for names such as Pablo Marçal, Renan Santos, Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Augusto Cury. Lula’s advantage draws from stronger interior support and recent regional economic signals, including an offshore oil find that bolsters his development messaging in the North. Flávio’s competitiveness stems from conservative voter consolidation and prior polling leads earlier in 2026. Market pricing reflects this state-level contest amid national polarization ahead of the October 4 vote.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$20,186
Data di fine
4 ott 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:25 AM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Amazonas, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Amazonas. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Amazonas. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Correlati

icon for Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Pará?

Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti nelle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Pará?

95%
Sì
icon for Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Paraíba?

Lula otterrà il maggior numero di voti alle prossime elezioni presidenziali brasiliane in Paraíba?

97%
Sì
icon for Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?

73%

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Domande frequenti

"Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Amazonas" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 13 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Lula" a 64%, seguito da "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 32%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 64¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 64% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Amazonas" ha generato $20.2K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 17, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Amazonas", esplora i 13 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Amazonas" è "Lula" a 64%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 64% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Flavio Bolsonaro" a 32%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Primo turno delle elezioni presidenziali in Brasile: 1° posto in Amazonas" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.