**Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar secured her party's nomination with 81.3% of the vote in the August 18, 2026 primary, advancing to face Democratic nominee Eliott Rodriguez, who prevailed in his party's primary with 53.5%.** The district's partisan lean favors the Republican candidate, consistent with Salazar's 60.4% victory in 2024 and the broader rightward shift in Miami-Dade County voting patterns. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely Republican, reflecting the incumbent's established support and limited structural changes from recent redistricting. With the November 3 general election two months away, trader consensus at 83.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these baseline advantages and the absence of major intervening developments that would alter the competitive outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoFL-27 House Election Winner
FL-27 House Election Winner
$24,688 Vol.
$24,688 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
17%
$24,688 Vol.
$24,688 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$12,927 Vol.
84%
Democratic Party
$11,761 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar secured her party's nomination with 81.3% of the vote in the August 18, 2026 primary, advancing to face Democratic nominee Eliott Rodriguez, who prevailed in his party's primary with 53.5%.**
The district's partisan lean favors the Republican candidate, consistent with Salazar's 60.4% victory in 2024 and the broader rightward shift in Miami-Dade County voting patterns. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely Republican, reflecting the incumbent's established support and limited structural changes from recent redistricting.
With the November 3 general election two months away, trader consensus at 83.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these baseline advantages and the absence of major intervening developments that would alter the competitive outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$24,688Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar secured her party's nomination with 81.3% of the vote in the August 18, 2026 primary, advancing to face Democratic nominee Eliott Rodriguez, who prevailed in his party's primary with 53.5%.**
The district's partisan lean favors the Republican candidate, consistent with Salazar's 60.4% victory in 2024 and the broader rightward shift in Miami-Dade County voting patterns. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely Republican, reflecting the incumbent's established support and limited structural changes from recent redistricting.
With the November 3 general election two months away, trader consensus at 83.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these baseline advantages and the absence of major intervening developments that would alter the competitive outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,688Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Maria Elvira Salazar secured her party's nomination with 81.3% of the vote in the August 18, 2026 primary, advancing to face Democratic nominee Eliott Rodriguez, who prevailed in his party's primary with 53.5%.** The district's partisan lean favors the Republican candidate, consistent with Salazar's 60.4% victory in 2024 and the broader rightward shift in Miami-Dade County voting patterns. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Likely Republican, reflecting the incumbent's established support and limited structural changes from recent redistricting. With the November 3 general election two months away, trader consensus at 83.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these baseline advantages and the absence of major intervening developments that would alter the competitive outlook.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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