Roseana Sarney (MDB) leads trader consensus for first place in the October 4, 2026, Maranhão Senate contest, backed by her strong name recognition as a four-time former governor and daughter of ex-president José Sarney, plus a consistent polling edge of 16% in the latest Quaest survey. The race stays tight because voters select two senators from a field of 11 candidates, with incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11%, Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO) at 10%, André Fufuca (PP) at 9%, and Eliziane Gama (PT) at 9% all within the margin of error amid 27% undecided and 9% blank or null responses. Major coalitions formed in July, and recent surveys show technical ties among the top five in combined-vote scenarios, leaving room for late shifts from undecided voters or alliance momentum before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoRoseana Sarney 59%
Lahesio Bonfim 21.7%
Weverton Rocha 11.5%
Fufuca 6.9%
$22,361 Vol.
$22,361 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Roseana Sarney
59%
Lahesio Bonfim
22%
Weverton Rocha
12%
Fufuca
7%
Eliziane Gama
1%
Wilson Leite
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
1%
Raimundo Moreira
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
<1%
Simplício Araújo
<1%
Roseana Sarney 59%
Lahesio Bonfim 21.7%
Weverton Rocha 11.5%
Fufuca 6.9%
$22,361 Vol.
$22,361 Vol.
4 ott 2026
Roseana Sarney
$15,315 Vol.
59%
Lahesio Bonfim
$2,069 Vol.
22%
Weverton Rocha
$2,137 Vol.
12%
Fufuca
$474 Vol.
7%
Eliziane Gama
$361 Vol.
1%
Wilson Leite
$355 Vol.
1%
Dr. Hilton Gonçalo
$358 Vol.
1%
Raimundo Moreira
$379 Vol.
<1%
Cidônio Gonçalves
$333 Vol.
<1%
Enilton Rodrigues
$248 Vol.
<1%
Simplício Araújo
$333 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) leads trader consensus for first place in the October 4, 2026, Maranhão Senate contest, backed by her strong name recognition as a four-time former governor and daughter of ex-president José Sarney, plus a consistent polling edge of 16% in the latest Quaest survey. The race stays tight because voters select two senators from a field of 11 candidates, with incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11%, Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO) at 10%, André Fufuca (PP) at 9%, and Eliziane Gama (PT) at 9% all within the margin of error amid 27% undecided and 9% blank or null responses. Major coalitions formed in July, and recent surveys show technical ties among the top five in combined-vote scenarios, leaving room for late shifts from undecided voters or alliance momentum before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET
Volume
$22,361Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Roseana Sarney (MDB) leads trader consensus for first place in the October 4, 2026, Maranhão Senate contest, backed by her strong name recognition as a four-time former governor and daughter of ex-president José Sarney, plus a consistent polling edge of 16% in the latest Quaest survey. The race stays tight because voters select two senators from a field of 11 candidates, with incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11%, Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO) at 10%, André Fufuca (PP) at 9%, and Eliziane Gama (PT) at 9% all within the margin of error amid 27% undecided and 9% blank or null responses. Major coalitions formed in July, and recent surveys show technical ties among the top five in combined-vote scenarios, leaving room for late shifts from undecided voters or alliance momentum before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$22,361Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Roseana Sarney (MDB) leads trader consensus for first place in the October 4, 2026, Maranhão Senate contest, backed by her strong name recognition as a four-time former governor and daughter of ex-president José Sarney, plus a consistent polling edge of 16% in the latest Quaest survey. The race stays tight because voters select two senators from a field of 11 candidates, with incumbents Weverton Rocha (PDT) at 11%, Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO) at 10%, André Fufuca (PP) at 9%, and Eliziane Gama (PT) at 9% all within the margin of error amid 27% undecided and 9% blank or null responses. Major coalitions formed in July, and recent surveys show technical ties among the top five in combined-vote scenarios, leaving room for late shifts from undecided voters or alliance momentum before election day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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