The current Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, with over 6,000 confirmed cases and nearly 3,000 deaths as of late August 2026, has grown faster than prior epidemics yet remains regionally concentrated across six provinces without sustained chains of transmission outside Africa. WHO’s IHR Emergency Committee has classified it as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern but explicitly not a pandemic emergency, citing low global risk, successful interruption of spread in Uganda, and effective border and contact-tracing measures that have kept imported cases isolated. Official surveillance from CDC and WHO shows no evidence of widespread international dissemination or the high reproductive numbers needed for pandemic status. While challenges like insecurity and delayed detection persist, the absence of global escalation through the end of August supports the market’s 96.2% “No” consensus. New case reports, expanded vaccination efforts, or unexpected cross-border seeding could still alter trajectories before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Ebola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4% 確率
$714,340 Vol.
$714,340 Vol.
2026/12/31
4% 確率
$714,340 Vol.
$714,340 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The current Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, with over 6,000 confirmed cases and nearly 3,000 deaths as of late August 2026, has grown faster than prior epidemics yet remains regionally concentrated across six provinces without sustained chains of transmission outside Africa. WHO’s IHR Emergency Committee has classified it as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern but explicitly not a pandemic emergency, citing low global risk, successful interruption of spread in Uganda, and effective border and contact-tracing measures that have kept imported cases isolated. Official surveillance from CDC and WHO shows no evidence of widespread international dissemination or the high reproductive numbers needed for pandemic status. While challenges like insecurity and delayed detection persist, the absence of global escalation through the end of August supports the market’s 96.2% “No” consensus. New case reports, expanded vaccination efforts, or unexpected cross-border seeding could still alter trajectories before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
音量
$714,340終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The current Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, with over 6,000 confirmed cases and nearly 3,000 deaths as of late August 2026, has grown faster than prior epidemics yet remains regionally concentrated across six provinces without sustained chains of transmission outside Africa. WHO’s IHR Emergency Committee has classified it as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern but explicitly not a pandemic emergency, citing low global risk, successful interruption of spread in Uganda, and effective border and contact-tracing measures that have kept imported cases isolated. Official surveillance from CDC and WHO shows no evidence of widespread international dissemination or the high reproductive numbers needed for pandemic status. While challenges like insecurity and delayed detection persist, the absence of global escalation through the end of August supports the market’s 96.2% “No” consensus. New case reports, expanded vaccination efforts, or unexpected cross-border seeding could still alter trajectories before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$714,340終了日
2027/01/01マーケット開始日
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETリゾルバー
0x65070BE91...The current Bundibugyo Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, with over 6,000 confirmed cases and nearly 3,000 deaths as of late August 2026, has grown faster than prior epidemics yet remains regionally concentrated across six provinces without sustained chains of transmission outside Africa. WHO’s IHR Emergency Committee has classified it as a Public Health Emergency of International Concern but explicitly not a pandemic emergency, citing low global risk, successful interruption of spread in Uganda, and effective border and contact-tracing measures that have kept imported cases isolated. Official surveillance from CDC and WHO shows no evidence of widespread international dissemination or the high reproductive numbers needed for pandemic status. While challenges like insecurity and delayed detection persist, the absence of global escalation through the end of August supports the market’s 96.2% “No” consensus. New case reports, expanded vaccination efforts, or unexpected cross-border seeding could still alter trajectories before year-end.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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