Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack holds a commanding lead in the Florida 3rd congressional district race due to the area's consistent R+10 partisan lean, her established record on agriculture and energy issues, and automatic advancement after the Republican primary was canceled. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on her 2024 reelection margin and the district's voter composition across north-central Florida counties. Democratic nominee Seth Harp, who won his August 18 primary with 45 percent, faces structural barriers including lower name recognition and fundraising. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited volatility before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFL-03 House Election Winner
FL-03 House Election Winner
$29,942 Wol.
$29,942 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Kat Cammack (R)
94%
Seth Harp (D)
6%
$29,942 Wol.
$29,942 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Kat Cammack (R)
$11,666 Wol.
94%
Seth Harp (D)
$18,276 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack holds a commanding lead in the Florida 3rd congressional district race due to the area's consistent R+10 partisan lean, her established record on agriculture and energy issues, and automatic advancement after the Republican primary was canceled. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on her 2024 reelection margin and the district's voter composition across north-central Florida counties. Democratic nominee Seth Harp, who won his August 18 primary with 45 percent, faces structural barriers including lower name recognition and fundraising. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited volatility before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$29,942Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack holds a commanding lead in the Florida 3rd congressional district race due to the area's consistent R+10 partisan lean, her established record on agriculture and energy issues, and automatic advancement after the Republican primary was canceled. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on her 2024 reelection margin and the district's voter composition across north-central Florida counties. Democratic nominee Seth Harp, who won his August 18 primary with 45 percent, faces structural barriers including lower name recognition and fundraising. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited volatility before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$29,942Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Kat Cammack holds a commanding lead in the Florida 3rd congressional district race due to the area's consistent R+10 partisan lean, her established record on agriculture and energy issues, and automatic advancement after the Republican primary was canceled. Forecasters from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican based on her 2024 reelection margin and the district's voter composition across north-central Florida counties. Democratic nominee Seth Harp, who won his August 18 primary with 45 percent, faces structural barriers including lower name recognition and fundraising. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited volatility before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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