Republicans currently hold a slim 26–24 edge in governorships entering the November 2026 midterms, with 36 seats contested across states featuring numerous open races due to term limits and retirements. Trader consensus favoring Democrats at 56.5% reflects polling averages and race ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report and Inside Elections showing Democratic advantages or toss-ups in key battlegrounds such as Arizona, Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia, alongside historical patterns of opposition-party gains in midterm cycles. Recent primary outcomes and modest rating shifts toward Democrats in states like Iowa have reinforced expectations of net Democratic pickup opportunities sufficient to secure a majority or tie, while Republican holds in solidly red states limit downside risk for the GOP at 31.5%.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
Democratic Party 56%
Republican Party 31%
Tie 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
31%
Democratic Party
56%
Tie
13%
Democratic Party 56%
Republican Party 31%
Tie 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$301 Wol.
31%
Democratic Party
$1,472 Wol.
56%
Tie
$128 Wol.
13%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold a slim 26–24 edge in governorships entering the November 2026 midterms, with 36 seats contested across states featuring numerous open races due to term limits and retirements. Trader consensus favoring Democrats at 56.5% reflects polling averages and race ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report and Inside Elections showing Democratic advantages or toss-ups in key battlegrounds such as Arizona, Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia, alongside historical patterns of opposition-party gains in midterm cycles. Recent primary outcomes and modest rating shifts toward Democrats in states like Iowa have reinforced expectations of net Democratic pickup opportunities sufficient to secure a majority or tie, while Republican holds in solidly red states limit downside risk for the GOP at 31.5%.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,900Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 3:27 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.Republicans currently hold a slim 26–24 edge in governorships entering the November 2026 midterms, with 36 seats contested across states featuring numerous open races due to term limits and retirements. Trader consensus favoring Democrats at 56.5% reflects polling averages and race ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report and Inside Elections showing Democratic advantages or toss-ups in key battlegrounds such as Arizona, Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia, alongside historical patterns of opposition-party gains in midterm cycles. Recent primary outcomes and modest rating shifts toward Democrats in states like Iowa have reinforced expectations of net Democratic pickup opportunities sufficient to secure a majority or tie, while Republican holds in solidly red states limit downside risk for the GOP at 31.5%.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected.
For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$1,900Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 3:27 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Republicans currently hold a slim 26–24 edge in governorships entering the November 2026 midterms, with 36 seats contested across states featuring numerous open races due to term limits and retirements. Trader consensus favoring Democrats at 56.5% reflects polling averages and race ratings from outlets like Cook Political Report and Inside Elections showing Democratic advantages or toss-ups in key battlegrounds such as Arizona, Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia, alongside historical patterns of opposition-party gains in midterm cycles. Recent primary outcomes and modest rating shifts toward Democrats in states like Iowa have reinforced expectations of net Democratic pickup opportunities sufficient to secure a majority or tie, while Republican holds in solidly red states limit downside risk for the GOP at 31.5%.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
Czy Partia Republikańska będzie mieć dokładnie 22 lub 23 stanowiska gubernatorskie po wyborach śródokresowych w 2026 roku?
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Tak
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Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
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