California’s 11th Congressional District, encompassing most of San Francisco, carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+35, making it one of the safest seats for the party in the country. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement after decades in office opened the race, but the June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—state Sen. Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election. With no Republican advancing and the district’s consistent history of delivering overwhelming Democratic margins, trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee near-certain victory. A Republican upset would require unprecedented shifts in turnout or voter registration that have not materialized in recent cycles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoCA-11 House Election Winner
CA-11 House Election Winner
$21,768 Vol.
$21,768 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
1%
$21,768 Vol.
$21,768 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$14,980 Vol.
98%
Republican Party
$6,788 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 11th Congressional District, encompassing most of San Francisco, carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+35, making it one of the safest seats for the party in the country. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement after decades in office opened the race, but the June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—state Sen. Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election. With no Republican advancing and the district’s consistent history of delivering overwhelming Democratic margins, trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee near-certain victory. A Republican upset would require unprecedented shifts in turnout or voter registration that have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Volume
$21,768Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 11th Congressional District, encompassing most of San Francisco, carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+35, making it one of the safest seats for the party in the country. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement after decades in office opened the race, but the June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—state Sen. Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election. With no Republican advancing and the district’s consistent history of delivering overwhelming Democratic margins, trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee near-certain victory. A Republican upset would require unprecedented shifts in turnout or voter registration that have not materialized in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,768Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 11th Congressional District, encompassing most of San Francisco, carries a strong Democratic partisan voting index exceeding D+35, making it one of the safest seats for the party in the country. Nancy Pelosi’s retirement after decades in office opened the race, but the June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—state Sen. Scott Wiener and Supervisor Connie Chan—to the November general election. With no Republican advancing and the district’s consistent history of delivering overwhelming Democratic margins, trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee near-certain victory. A Republican upset would require unprecedented shifts in turnout or voter registration that have not materialized in recent cycles.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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