Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting Kinmen legislator, holds an overwhelming edge in the November 28, 2026, magistrate race due to the county’s longstanding KMT electoral dominance, her established local support base, and an internal poll showing her at 41% against single-digit figures for rivals. The party’s March 2026 nomination of Chen as its sole candidate eliminated any primary contest, while the DPP has fielded no contender. Recent candidate registration, which opened in late August, has drawn multiple independents including former vice-magistrate Li Wen-liang, academic Liang Wen-tao, and former magistrate Yang Cheng-wu, though these challengers remain fragmented and lack comparable organizational strength or polling traction. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and polling realities heading into the final campaign period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧэнь Юйжэнь 88%
Ли Вэньлян 8%
Лян Вэньтао <1%
Ян Чэну <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Чэнь Юйжэнь
88%
Ли Вэньлян
8%
Лян Вэньтао
1%
Ян Чэну
<1%
Чэнь Юйжэнь 88%
Ли Вэньлян 8%
Лян Вэньтао <1%
Ян Чэну <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Чэнь Юйжэнь
$2,174 Объем
88%
Ли Вэньлян
$498 Объем
8%
Лян Вэньтао
$304 Объем
1%
Ян Чэну
$269 Объем
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting Kinmen legislator, holds an overwhelming edge in the November 28, 2026, magistrate race due to the county’s longstanding KMT electoral dominance, her established local support base, and an internal poll showing her at 41% against single-digit figures for rivals. The party’s March 2026 nomination of Chen as its sole candidate eliminated any primary contest, while the DPP has fielded no contender. Recent candidate registration, which opened in late August, has drawn multiple independents including former vice-magistrate Li Wen-liang, academic Liang Wen-tao, and former magistrate Yang Cheng-wu, though these challengers remain fragmented and lack comparable organizational strength or polling traction. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and polling realities heading into the final campaign period.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ET
Объем
$3,245Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting Kinmen legislator, holds an overwhelming edge in the November 28, 2026, magistrate race due to the county’s longstanding KMT electoral dominance, her established local support base, and an internal poll showing her at 41% against single-digit figures for rivals. The party’s March 2026 nomination of Chen as its sole candidate eliminated any primary contest, while the DPP has fielded no contender. Recent candidate registration, which opened in late August, has drawn multiple independents including former vice-magistrate Li Wen-liang, academic Liang Wen-tao, and former magistrate Yang Cheng-wu, though these challengers remain fragmented and lack comparable organizational strength or polling traction. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and polling realities heading into the final campaign period.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Kinmen County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$3,245Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:04 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Chen Yu-jen, the Kuomintang nominee and sitting Kinmen legislator, holds an overwhelming edge in the November 28, 2026, magistrate race due to the county’s longstanding KMT electoral dominance, her established local support base, and an internal poll showing her at 41% against single-digit figures for rivals. The party’s March 2026 nomination of Chen as its sole candidate eliminated any primary contest, while the DPP has fielded no contender. Recent candidate registration, which opened in late August, has drawn multiple independents including former vice-magistrate Li Wen-liang, academic Liang Wen-tao, and former magistrate Yang Cheng-wu, though these challengers remain fragmented and lack comparable organizational strength or polling traction. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and polling realities heading into the final campaign period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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