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icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Пиауи
Политика·Бразилия

Победитель выборов губернатора Пиауи

icon for Победитель выборов губернатора Пиауи
Политика·Бразилия

Победитель выборов губернатора Пиауи

Рафаэл Фонтелес 95%

Равенна да Инклюзон 2.1%

Элизеу Агиар 1.8%

Профессор Журити 1.5%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Рафаэл Фонтелес 95%

Равенна да Инклюзон 2.1%

Элизеу Агиар 1.8%

Профессор Журити 1.5%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Рафаэл Фонтелес

Рафаэл Фонтелес

$1,304 Объем

95%

icon for Равенна да Инклюзон

Равенна да Инклюзон

$222 Объем

2%

icon for Элизеу Агиар

Элизеу Агиар

$243 Объем

2%

icon for Профессор Журити

Профессор Журити

$235 Объем

2%

icon for Лурдес Мело

Лурдес Мело

$317 Объем

1%

icon for Профессор Гисвальдо

Профессор Гисвальдо

$232 Объем

1%

icon for Сантьяго Белизарио

Сантьяго Белизарио

$232 Объем

1%

icon for Дра. Лусия Сантос

Дра. Лусия Сантос

$232 Объем

1%

icon for Геральду Карвалью

Геральду Карвалью

$248 Объем

1%

icon for Жоэл Родригес

Жоэл Родригес

$248 Объем

<1%

icon for Густаво Фейжо

Густаво Фейжо

$263 Объем

<1%

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent seeking re-election, maintains a commanding lead in the Piauí gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus above 90%. Recent Datafolha polling from mid-August shows him at 56% of first-round vote intentions against Joel Rodrigues (PP) at 21%, with all other registered candidates at 2% or below. This positioning stems from sustained high approval of his administration—72% in the same survey—tied to policy delivery on education expansion and state management since taking office. Official convention formalization of his ticket in July and ongoing campaign focus on initiatives like elder care have reinforced momentum ahead of the October 4 first round. Fragmented opposition and historical re-election patterns for incumbents with strong approval further anchor the current market odds, though late developments in voter turnout or alliances could still influence outcomes before voting.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$3,773
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Rafael Fonteles (PT), the incumbent seeking re-election, maintains a commanding lead in the Piauí gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus above 90%. Recent Datafolha polling from mid-August shows him at 56% of first-round vote intentions against Joel Rodrigues (PP) at 21%, with all other registered candidates at 2% or below. This positioning stems from sustained high approval of his administration—72% in the same survey—tied to policy delivery on education expansion and state management since taking office. Official convention formalization of his ticket in July and ongoing campaign focus on initiatives like elder care have reinforced momentum ahead of the October 4 first round. Fragmented opposition and historical re-election patterns for incumbents with strong approval further anchor the current market odds, though late developments in voter turnout or alliances could still influence outcomes before voting.

The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$3,773
Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
The Piauí gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Лукас Рибейро выборы губернатора Параибы?

Выиграет ли Лукас Рибейро выборы губернатора Параибы?

79%
Да
icon for Сергио Моро победит на выборах губернатора Параны?

Сергио Моро победит на выборах губернатора Параны?

80%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Тарсисиу де Фрейтас выборы губернатора Сан-Паулу в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Тарсисиу де Фрейтас выборы губернатора Сан-Паулу в 2026 году?

98%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов губернатора Пиауи» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Рафаэл Фонтелес» с 95%, за ним следует «Равенна да Инклюзон» с 2%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 95¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 95%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов губернатора Пиауи» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 17, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов губернатора Пиауи», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов губернатора Пиауи» — «Рафаэл Фонтелес» с 95%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 95%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Равенна да Инклюзон» с 2%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов губернатора Пиауи» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.