Maine’s 2nd Congressional District general election features an open seat after Democratic incumbent Jared Golden’s retirement, pitting Republican Paul LePage against Democrat Matthew Dunlap in a November 3 contest conducted under ranked-choice voting. Trader consensus reflects a near-even first-round margin, consistent with the district’s modest Republican lean, its history of narrow outcomes in recent cycles, and mixed early polling that shows both candidates competitive on name recognition and regional support. LePage’s prior statewide profile and fundraising edge are offset by Dunlap’s state government experience and the district’s Democratic-leaning turnout patterns in certain counties. Limited shifts in voter preference, turnout differentials in rural versus suburban areas, or late endorsements could widen the first-round spread, while strong performance by the independent candidate or RCV transfers might compress margins further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRepublican 0-3% 17%
Democrat 0-3% 16%
Republican 3-6% 14%
Republican 12%+ 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican 12%+
12%
Republican 9-12%
8%
Republican 6-9%
11%
Republican 3-6%
14%
Republican 0-3%
17%
Democrat 0-3%
16%
Democrat 3-6%
10%
Democrat 6-9%
11%
Democrat 9-12%
6%
Democrat 12%+
4%
Republican 0-3% 17%
Democrat 0-3% 16%
Republican 3-6% 14%
Republican 12%+ 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 3, 2026
Republican 12%+
$85 ปริมาณ
12%
Republican 9-12%
$141 ปริมาณ
8%
Republican 6-9%
$73 ปริมาณ
11%
Republican 3-6%
$115 ปริมาณ
14%
Republican 0-3%
$156 ปริมาณ
17%
Democrat 0-3%
$188 ปริมาณ
16%
Democrat 3-6%
$407 ปริมาณ
10%
Democrat 6-9%
$131 ปริมาณ
11%
Democrat 9-12%
$156 ปริมาณ
6%
Democrat 12%+
$116 ปริมาณ
4%
The 2026 ME-02 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 ME-02 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Maine’s 2nd Congressional District general election features an open seat after Democratic incumbent Jared Golden’s retirement, pitting Republican Paul LePage against Democrat Matthew Dunlap in a November 3 contest conducted under ranked-choice voting. Trader consensus reflects a near-even first-round margin, consistent with the district’s modest Republican lean, its history of narrow outcomes in recent cycles, and mixed early polling that shows both candidates competitive on name recognition and regional support. LePage’s prior statewide profile and fundraising edge are offset by Dunlap’s state government experience and the district’s Democratic-leaning turnout patterns in certain counties. Limited shifts in voter preference, turnout differentials in rural versus suburban areas, or late endorsements could widen the first-round spread, while strong performance by the independent candidate or RCV transfers might compress margins further.
The 2026 ME-02 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 ME-02 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 ME-02 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 11:36 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,567วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 11:36 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 ME-02 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 ME-02 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Maine’s 2nd Congressional District general election features an open seat after Democratic incumbent Jared Golden’s retirement, pitting Republican Paul LePage against Democrat Matthew Dunlap in a November 3 contest conducted under ranked-choice voting. Trader consensus reflects a near-even first-round margin, consistent with the district’s modest Republican lean, its history of narrow outcomes in recent cycles, and mixed early polling that shows both candidates competitive on name recognition and regional support. LePage’s prior statewide profile and fundraising edge are offset by Dunlap’s state government experience and the district’s Democratic-leaning turnout patterns in certain counties. Limited shifts in voter preference, turnout differentials in rural versus suburban areas, or late endorsements could widen the first-round spread, while strong performance by the independent candidate or RCV transfers might compress margins further.
The 2026 ME-02 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 ME-02 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For purposes of this market, candidates nominated by the Democratic & Republican Parties will represent the options for "Democrat" and "Republican," respectively. Independent candidates will not represent options for either party. The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 ME-02 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,567วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 10, 2026, 11:36 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Maine’s 2nd Congressional District general election features an open seat after Democratic incumbent Jared Golden’s retirement, pitting Republican Paul LePage against Democrat Matthew Dunlap in a November 3 contest conducted under ranked-choice voting. Trader consensus reflects a near-even first-round margin, consistent with the district’s modest Republican lean, its history of narrow outcomes in recent cycles, and mixed early polling that shows both candidates competitive on name recognition and regional support. LePage’s prior statewide profile and fundraising edge are offset by Dunlap’s state government experience and the district’s Democratic-leaning turnout patterns in certain counties. Limited shifts in voter preference, turnout differentials in rural versus suburban areas, or late endorsements could widen the first-round spread, while strong performance by the independent candidate or RCV transfers might compress margins further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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