Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a polling edge averaging around 4 points over Democratic challenger and Attorney General Aaron Ford in the November 3, 2026, Nevada gubernatorial race, supported by stronger fundraising and cash reserves exceeding $9 million versus Ford’s roughly $3.7 million. Recent July and August surveys, including those from Nate Silver’s analysis and the FiftyPlusOne tracking poll, show Lombardo ahead by margins of 3 to 9 points, prompting models like Race to the White House to lift his win probability into the high 70s. Ford’s campaign emphasizes affordability concerns such as housing and utilities to close the gap in this lean-Republican or toss-up contest, while early voting approaches in under two months and outside spending favors the incumbent. Trader consensus at 61.5% for Lombardo aligns with these structural and polling dynamics in a battleground state.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$80,560 ปริมาณ
$80,560 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Joe Lombardo (R)
62%
Aaron Ford (D)
40%
$80,560 ปริมาณ
$80,560 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Joe Lombardo (R)
$57,184 ปริมาณ
62%
Aaron Ford (D)
$23,375 ปริมาณ
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a polling edge averaging around 4 points over Democratic challenger and Attorney General Aaron Ford in the November 3, 2026, Nevada gubernatorial race, supported by stronger fundraising and cash reserves exceeding $9 million versus Ford’s roughly $3.7 million. Recent July and August surveys, including those from Nate Silver’s analysis and the FiftyPlusOne tracking poll, show Lombardo ahead by margins of 3 to 9 points, prompting models like Race to the White House to lift his win probability into the high 70s. Ford’s campaign emphasizes affordability concerns such as housing and utilities to close the gap in this lean-Republican or toss-up contest, while early voting approaches in under two months and outside spending favors the incumbent. Trader consensus at 61.5% for Lombardo aligns with these structural and polling dynamics in a battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80,560วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a polling edge averaging around 4 points over Democratic challenger and Attorney General Aaron Ford in the November 3, 2026, Nevada gubernatorial race, supported by stronger fundraising and cash reserves exceeding $9 million versus Ford’s roughly $3.7 million. Recent July and August surveys, including those from Nate Silver’s analysis and the FiftyPlusOne tracking poll, show Lombardo ahead by margins of 3 to 9 points, prompting models like Race to the White House to lift his win probability into the high 70s. Ford’s campaign emphasizes affordability concerns such as housing and utilities to close the gap in this lean-Republican or toss-up contest, while early voting approaches in under two months and outside spending favors the incumbent. Trader consensus at 61.5% for Lombardo aligns with these structural and polling dynamics in a battleground state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$80,560วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a polling edge averaging around 4 points over Democratic challenger and Attorney General Aaron Ford in the November 3, 2026, Nevada gubernatorial race, supported by stronger fundraising and cash reserves exceeding $9 million versus Ford’s roughly $3.7 million. Recent July and August surveys, including those from Nate Silver’s analysis and the FiftyPlusOne tracking poll, show Lombardo ahead by margins of 3 to 9 points, prompting models like Race to the White House to lift his win probability into the high 70s. Ford’s campaign emphasizes affordability concerns such as housing and utilities to close the gap in this lean-Republican or toss-up contest, while early voting approaches in under two months and outside spending favors the incumbent. Trader consensus at 61.5% for Lombardo aligns with these structural and polling dynamics in a battleground state.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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