Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial race, backed by consistent polling averages near 60% in recent surveys such as the late-August Quaest release. His position stems from strong name recognition as the top vote-getter in the June 2026 special election (60.87% of valid votes), prior service as Boa Vista mayor, and limited competition from interim governor Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) and minor candidates including Farah Mesquita, Rosi Aires, and Clébio Genuíno. The ongoing judicial review of Henrique’s special-election candidacy over desincompatibilization timing has not yet altered October eligibility or voter intentions. Traders price in a high probability of victory absent a late court disqualification or sharp polling reversal before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоArthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 3.0%
Farah Mesquita 1.8%
Rosi Aires 1.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Henrique
94%
Soldado Sampaio
3%
Farah Mesquita
2%
Rosi Aires
1%
Clébio Genuíno
<1%
Arthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 3.0%
Farah Mesquita 1.8%
Rosi Aires 1.0%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Arthur Henrique
$4,769 Обс.
94%
Soldado Sampaio
$183 Обс.
3%
Farah Mesquita
$153 Обс.
2%
Rosi Aires
$222 Обс.
1%
Clébio Genuíno
$287 Обс.
<1%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial race, backed by consistent polling averages near 60% in recent surveys such as the late-August Quaest release. His position stems from strong name recognition as the top vote-getter in the June 2026 special election (60.87% of valid votes), prior service as Boa Vista mayor, and limited competition from interim governor Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) and minor candidates including Farah Mesquita, Rosi Aires, and Clébio Genuíno. The ongoing judicial review of Henrique’s special-election candidacy over desincompatibilization timing has not yet altered October eligibility or voter intentions. Traders price in a high probability of victory absent a late court disqualification or sharp polling reversal before election day.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,614Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial race, backed by consistent polling averages near 60% in recent surveys such as the late-August Quaest release. His position stems from strong name recognition as the top vote-getter in the June 2026 special election (60.87% of valid votes), prior service as Boa Vista mayor, and limited competition from interim governor Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) and minor candidates including Farah Mesquita, Rosi Aires, and Clébio Genuíno. The ongoing judicial review of Henrique’s special-election candidacy over desincompatibilization timing has not yet altered October eligibility or voter intentions. Traders price in a high probability of victory absent a late court disqualification or sharp polling reversal before election day.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$5,614Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial race, backed by consistent polling averages near 60% in recent surveys such as the late-August Quaest release. His position stems from strong name recognition as the top vote-getter in the June 2026 special election (60.87% of valid votes), prior service as Boa Vista mayor, and limited competition from interim governor Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos) and minor candidates including Farah Mesquita, Rosi Aires, and Clébio Genuíno. The ongoing judicial review of Henrique’s special-election candidacy over desincompatibilization timing has not yet altered October eligibility or voter intentions. Traders price in a high probability of victory absent a late court disqualification or sharp polling reversal before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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