California's 14th congressional district, encompassing parts of the East Bay and Silicon Valley, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democratic candidates—Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez—to the November 3 general election after Republicans combined for under 25 percent of the vote and failed to secure a spot. This outcome stems from the district's voter registration and turnout patterns, the open seat following Eric Swalwell's resignation, and California's primary system. Trader consensus at 97.4 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and historical margins. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in participation or candidate withdrawal, neither of which has precedent in recent cycles for this seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-14 House Election Winner
CA-14 House Election Winner
$35,762 KL.
$35,762 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
<1%
$35,762 KL.
$35,762 KL.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,006 KL.
97%
Republican Party
$21,756 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th congressional district, encompassing parts of the East Bay and Silicon Valley, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democratic candidates—Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez—to the November 3 general election after Republicans combined for under 25 percent of the vote and failed to secure a spot. This outcome stems from the district's voter registration and turnout patterns, the open seat following Eric Swalwell's resignation, and California's primary system. Trader consensus at 97.4 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and historical margins. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in participation or candidate withdrawal, neither of which has precedent in recent cycles for this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$35,762Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 14th congressional district, encompassing parts of the East Bay and Silicon Valley, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democratic candidates—Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez—to the November 3 general election after Republicans combined for under 25 percent of the vote and failed to secure a spot. This outcome stems from the district's voter registration and turnout patterns, the open seat following Eric Swalwell's resignation, and California's primary system. Trader consensus at 97.4 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and historical margins. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in participation or candidate withdrawal, neither of which has precedent in recent cycles for this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$35,762Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x2F5e3684c...California's 14th congressional district, encompassing parts of the East Bay and Silicon Valley, carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its D+19 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent election results. The June 2026 top-two primary advanced two Democratic candidates—Aisha Wahab and Melissa Hernandez—to the November 3 general election after Republicans combined for under 25 percent of the vote and failed to secure a spot. This outcome stems from the district's voter registration and turnout patterns, the open seat following Eric Swalwell's resignation, and California's primary system. Trader consensus at 97.4 percent for the Democratic Party aligns with these structural factors and historical margins. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in participation or candidate withdrawal, neither of which has precedent in recent cycles for this seat.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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