California's 44th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic partisan lean, with voter registration and historical results producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index near D+19 to D+20. Incumbent Democratic Representative Nanette Barragán captured roughly 77 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Genevieve Angel to the November 3 general election. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including the district's location in Los Angeles County and limited Republican infrastructure. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include national political swings, candidate-specific developments before Election Day, or atypical turnout patterns among opposition voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCA-44 House Election Winner
CA-44 House Election Winner
$46,663 Vol.
$46,663 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Nanette Barragán (D)
98%
Genevieve Angel (R)
2%
$46,663 Vol.
$46,663 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Nanette Barragán (D)
$21,673 Vol.
98%
Genevieve Angel (R)
$24,990 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 44th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic partisan lean, with voter registration and historical results producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index near D+19 to D+20. Incumbent Democratic Representative Nanette Barragán captured roughly 77 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Genevieve Angel to the November 3 general election. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including the district's location in Los Angeles County and limited Republican infrastructure. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include national political swings, candidate-specific developments before Election Day, or atypical turnout patterns among opposition voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Volume
$46,663End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 44th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic partisan lean, with voter registration and historical results producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index near D+19 to D+20. Incumbent Democratic Representative Nanette Barragán captured roughly 77 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Genevieve Angel to the November 3 general election. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including the district's location in Los Angeles County and limited Republican infrastructure. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include national political swings, candidate-specific developments before Election Day, or atypical turnout patterns among opposition voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-44 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$46,663End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 44th congressional district features a pronounced Democratic partisan lean, with voter registration and historical results producing a Cook Partisan Voting Index near D+19 to D+20. Incumbent Democratic Representative Nanette Barragán captured roughly 77 percent in the June 2026 top-two primary, advancing against Republican Genevieve Angel to the November 3 general election. Race ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the contest as Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, including the district's location in Los Angeles County and limited Republican infrastructure. Scenarios that could narrow the margin include national political swings, candidate-specific developments before Election Day, or atypical turnout patterns among opposition voters.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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