Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 11th Congressional District race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his August primary victory as the party nominee. The open district, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens, covers predominantly Democratic areas of Oakland County and has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Moss, a state senator with legislative experience on issues including healthcare costs and election integrity, faces Republican Ethan Baker, the unopposed Troy mayor nominee. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Moss reflects the district’s partisan makeup and limited competitive polling. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMI-11 House Election Winner
MI-11 House Election Winner
$79,042 Vol.
$79,042 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jeremy Moss (D)
96%
Ethan Baker (R)
3%
$79,042 Vol.
$79,042 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Jeremy Moss (D)
$56,489 Vol.
96%
Ethan Baker (R)
$22,552 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 11th Congressional District race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his August primary victory as the party nominee. The open district, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens, covers predominantly Democratic areas of Oakland County and has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Moss, a state senator with legislative experience on issues including healthcare costs and election integrity, faces Republican Ethan Baker, the unopposed Troy mayor nominee. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Moss reflects the district’s partisan makeup and limited competitive polling. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$79,042End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 11th Congressional District race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his August primary victory as the party nominee. The open district, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens, covers predominantly Democratic areas of Oakland County and has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Moss, a state senator with legislative experience on issues including healthcare costs and election integrity, faces Republican Ethan Baker, the unopposed Troy mayor nominee. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Moss reflects the district’s partisan makeup and limited competitive polling. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$79,042End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 11th Congressional District race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean and his August primary victory as the party nominee. The open district, vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens, covers predominantly Democratic areas of Oakland County and has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Moss, a state senator with legislative experience on issues including healthcare costs and election integrity, faces Republican Ethan Baker, the unopposed Troy mayor nominee. Trader consensus at 96.5% for Moss reflects the district’s partisan makeup and limited competitive polling. Late developments such as a significant scandal, health event, or unexpected national shift could still alter the outcome before the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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