Pete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District race due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid Republican. As the incumbent since 2019, Stauber secured his party’s nomination by a wide margin in the August 11, 2026 primary and has maintained comfortable general-election margins in prior cycles, including 58 percent in 2024. Trina Swanson, the Democratic nominee and a former federal immigration official, advanced easily from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Republican presidential candidates by double digits in recent elections. Fundraising disparities and limited shifts in voter sentiment since the primaries further align with current trader consensus on the November 3 outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMN-08 House Election Winner
MN-08 House Election Winner
$21,087 Vol.
$21,087 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Pete Stauber (R)
86%
Trina Swanson (D)
14%
$21,087 Vol.
$21,087 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Pete Stauber (R)
$11,214 Vol.
86%
Trina Swanson (D)
$9,873 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District race due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid Republican. As the incumbent since 2019, Stauber secured his party’s nomination by a wide margin in the August 11, 2026 primary and has maintained comfortable general-election margins in prior cycles, including 58 percent in 2024. Trina Swanson, the Democratic nominee and a former federal immigration official, advanced easily from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Republican presidential candidates by double digits in recent elections. Fundraising disparities and limited shifts in voter sentiment since the primaries further align with current trader consensus on the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$21,087End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District race due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid Republican. As the incumbent since 2019, Stauber secured his party’s nomination by a wide margin in the August 11, 2026 primary and has maintained comfortable general-election margins in prior cycles, including 58 percent in 2024. Trina Swanson, the Democratic nominee and a former federal immigration official, advanced easily from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Republican presidential candidates by double digits in recent elections. Fundraising disparities and limited shifts in voter sentiment since the primaries further align with current trader consensus on the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$21,087End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pete Stauber holds a strong position in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District race due to the seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and recent nonpartisan ratings classifying it as Solid Republican. As the incumbent since 2019, Stauber secured his party’s nomination by a wide margin in the August 11, 2026 primary and has maintained comfortable general-election margins in prior cycles, including 58 percent in 2024. Trina Swanson, the Democratic nominee and a former federal immigration official, advanced easily from her primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Republican presidential candidates by double digits in recent elections. Fundraising disparities and limited shifts in voter sentiment since the primaries further align with current trader consensus on the November 3 outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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