Denny Tamaki holds a strong position in the September 13 Okinawa gubernatorial election as the two-term incumbent seeking a third term, backed by the All Okinawa coalition of opposition parties including the Constitutional Democratic Party and Japanese Communist Party. His platform centers on continued opposition to relocating the U.S. Marine Corps Futenma air station to Henoko and expanded welfare measures such as child medical care subsidies. Genta Koja, the main challenger and former Naha deputy mayor supported by the Liberal Democratic Party along with allies like the Japan Innovation Party, emphasizes economic growth including per capita income targets and infrastructure improvements while accepting the base relocation plan. Campaigning began on August 27 with six total candidates filed, though the contest has consolidated into a de facto two-person race. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with Tamaki’s incumbency record and the prefecture’s recent electoral patterns favoring the opposition camp on base-related issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDenny Tamaki 80%
Genta Koja 19%
Mikio Shimoji 2.1%
Masahiro Sueyoshi <1%
$10,514 Vol.
$10,514 Vol.

Denny Tamaki
80%

Genta Koja
19%

Mikio Shimoji
2%

Masahiro Sueyoshi
1%

Takashi Higa
1%

Shun Kaneshima
1%

Chosuke Yara
<1%
Denny Tamaki 80%
Genta Koja 19%
Mikio Shimoji 2.1%
Masahiro Sueyoshi <1%
$10,514 Vol.
$10,514 Vol.

Denny Tamaki
80%

Genta Koja
19%

Mikio Shimoji
2%

Masahiro Sueyoshi
1%

Takashi Higa
1%

Shun Kaneshima
1%

Chosuke Yara
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Denny Tamaki holds a strong position in the September 13 Okinawa gubernatorial election as the two-term incumbent seeking a third term, backed by the All Okinawa coalition of opposition parties including the Constitutional Democratic Party and Japanese Communist Party. His platform centers on continued opposition to relocating the U.S. Marine Corps Futenma air station to Henoko and expanded welfare measures such as child medical care subsidies. Genta Koja, the main challenger and former Naha deputy mayor supported by the Liberal Democratic Party along with allies like the Japan Innovation Party, emphasizes economic growth including per capita income targets and infrastructure improvements while accepting the base relocation plan. Campaigning began on August 27 with six total candidates filed, though the contest has consolidated into a de facto two-person race. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with Tamaki’s incumbency record and the prefecture’s recent electoral patterns favoring the opposition camp on base-related issues.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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