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Okinawa Governor Election Winner

icon for Okinawa Governor Election Winner

Okinawa Governor Election Winner

Denny Tamaki 80%

Genta Koja 19%

Mikio Shimoji 2.1%

Masahiro Sueyoshi <1%

Polymarket

$10,514 Vol.

Denny Tamaki 80%

Genta Koja 19%

Mikio Shimoji 2.1%

Masahiro Sueyoshi <1%

Polymarket

$10,514 Vol.

icon for Denny Tamaki

Denny Tamaki

$7,649 Vol.

80%

icon for Genta Koja

Genta Koja

$912 Vol.

19%

icon for Mikio Shimoji

Mikio Shimoji

$420 Vol.

2%

icon for Masahiro Sueyoshi

Masahiro Sueyoshi

$432 Vol.

1%

icon for Takashi Higa

Takashi Higa

$412 Vol.

1%

icon for Shun Kaneshima

Shun Kaneshima

$310 Vol.

1%

icon for Chosuke Yara

Chosuke Yara

$379 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).Denny Tamaki holds a strong position in the September 13 Okinawa gubernatorial election as the two-term incumbent seeking a third term, backed by the All Okinawa coalition of opposition parties including the Constitutional Democratic Party and Japanese Communist Party. His platform centers on continued opposition to relocating the U.S. Marine Corps Futenma air station to Henoko and expanded welfare measures such as child medical care subsidies. Genta Koja, the main challenger and former Naha deputy mayor supported by the Liberal Democratic Party along with allies like the Japan Innovation Party, emphasizes economic growth including per capita income targets and infrastructure improvements while accepting the base relocation plan. Campaigning began on August 27 with six total candidates filed, though the contest has consolidated into a de facto two-person race. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with Tamaki’s incumbency record and the prefecture’s recent electoral patterns favoring the opposition camp on base-related issues.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Volume
$10,514
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).Denny Tamaki holds a strong position in the September 13 Okinawa gubernatorial election as the two-term incumbent seeking a third term, backed by the All Okinawa coalition of opposition parties including the Constitutional Democratic Party and Japanese Communist Party. His platform centers on continued opposition to relocating the U.S. Marine Corps Futenma air station to Henoko and expanded welfare measures such as child medical care subsidies. Genta Koja, the main challenger and former Naha deputy mayor supported by the Liberal Democratic Party along with allies like the Japan Innovation Party, emphasizes economic growth including per capita income targets and infrastructure improvements while accepting the base relocation plan. Campaigning began on August 27 with six total candidates filed, though the contest has consolidated into a de facto two-person race. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with Tamaki’s incumbency record and the prefecture’s recent electoral patterns favoring the opposition camp on base-related issues.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).
Volume
$10,514
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Okinawa on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If no candidate reaches the legally required number of votes to win the election, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Okinawa and Japan, including the Okinawa Prefecture Election Administration Committee (https://www.pref.okinawa.jp/kensei/senkyo/index.html).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Okinawa Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Denny Tamaki" at 80%, followed by "Genta Koja" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Okinawa Governor Election Winner" has generated $10.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 12, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Okinawa Governor Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Okinawa Governor Election Winner" is "Denny Tamaki" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Genta Koja" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Okinawa Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.