The competitive, multi-party race ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election has shaped trader expectations for turnout in the mid-to-high 60 percent range. Recent polling shows a fragmented contest with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead but likely short of a majority, alongside gains for the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire in different regions. This dynamic, combined with new party leaders, advance voting periods from late September, and Elections Québec registration drives, supports moderate-to-elevated participation compared with recent provincial averages. Key variables that could consolidate sentiment around one outcome band include weather on polling day, the scale of advance and mail-in ballots, and the intensity of get-out-the-vote efforts in close ridings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated66-70% 30%
70-74% 26%
62-66% 21%
74%+ 12%
NEW
NEW
Oct 5, 2026
<58%
9%
58-62%
11%
62-66%
21%
66-70%
35%
70-74%
22%
74%+
12%
66-70% 30%
70-74% 26%
62-66% 21%
74%+ 12%
NEW
NEW
Oct 5, 2026
<58%
$374 Vol.
9%
58-62%
$96 Vol.
11%
62-66%
$57 Vol.
21%
66-70%
$184 Vol.
35%
70-74%
$97 Vol.
22%
74%+
$201 Vol.
12%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The competitive, multi-party race ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election has shaped trader expectations for turnout in the mid-to-high 60 percent range. Recent polling shows a fragmented contest with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead but likely short of a majority, alongside gains for the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire in different regions. This dynamic, combined with new party leaders, advance voting periods from late September, and Elections Québec registration drives, supports moderate-to-elevated participation compared with recent provincial averages. Key variables that could consolidate sentiment around one outcome band include weather on polling day, the scale of advance and mail-in ballots, and the intensity of get-out-the-vote efforts in close ridings.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Volume
$1,009End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The competitive, multi-party race ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election has shaped trader expectations for turnout in the mid-to-high 60 percent range. Recent polling shows a fragmented contest with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead but likely short of a majority, alongside gains for the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire in different regions. This dynamic, combined with new party leaders, advance voting periods from late September, and Elections Québec registration drives, supports moderate-to-elevated participation compared with recent provincial averages. Key variables that could consolidate sentiment around one outcome band include weather on polling day, the scale of advance and mail-in ballots, and the intensity of get-out-the-vote efforts in close ridings.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$1,009End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...The competitive, multi-party race ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election has shaped trader expectations for turnout in the mid-to-high 60 percent range. Recent polling shows a fragmented contest with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead but likely short of a majority, alongside gains for the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire in different regions. This dynamic, combined with new party leaders, advance voting periods from late September, and Elections Québec registration drives, supports moderate-to-elevated participation compared with recent provincial averages. Key variables that could consolidate sentiment around one outcome band include weather on polling day, the scale of advance and mail-in ballots, and the intensity of get-out-the-vote efforts in close ridings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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