Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to his decisive performance in the June 2026 supplemental election, where he captured over 60% of valid votes as the most-voted candidate despite a pending eligibility challenge over resignation timing from his prior role as Boa Vista mayor. Recent polls, including Quaest and Census surveys from late August, show him at 55-60% support against Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), the interim governor and main rival, with remaining candidates below 2%. His established local base, prior reelection as mayor, and party backing contribute to the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The October 4 first-round vote, with a possible runoff, remains the key resolution trigger; late developments such as court rulings on candidacy status or shifts in turnout could still alter outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoArthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 3.2%
Farah Mesquita 1.9%
Rosi Aires <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Arthur Henrique
94%
Soldado Sampaio
3%
Farah Mesquita
2%
Rosi Aires
1%
Clébio Genuíno
<1%
Arthur Henrique 94%
Soldado Sampaio 3.2%
Farah Mesquita 1.9%
Rosi Aires <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Arthur Henrique
$4,769 Vol.
94%
Soldado Sampaio
$183 Vol.
3%
Farah Mesquita
$153 Vol.
2%
Rosi Aires
$222 Vol.
1%
Clébio Genuíno
$287 Vol.
<1%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to his decisive performance in the June 2026 supplemental election, where he captured over 60% of valid votes as the most-voted candidate despite a pending eligibility challenge over resignation timing from his prior role as Boa Vista mayor. Recent polls, including Quaest and Census surveys from late August, show him at 55-60% support against Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), the interim governor and main rival, with remaining candidates below 2%. His established local base, prior reelection as mayor, and party backing contribute to the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The October 4 first-round vote, with a possible runoff, remains the key resolution trigger; late developments such as court rulings on candidacy status or shifts in turnout could still alter outcomes.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Volume
$5,614Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to his decisive performance in the June 2026 supplemental election, where he captured over 60% of valid votes as the most-voted candidate despite a pending eligibility challenge over resignation timing from his prior role as Boa Vista mayor. Recent polls, including Quaest and Census surveys from late August, show him at 55-60% support against Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), the interim governor and main rival, with remaining candidates below 2%. His established local base, prior reelection as mayor, and party backing contribute to the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The October 4 first-round vote, with a possible runoff, remains the key resolution trigger; late developments such as court rulings on candidacy status or shifts in turnout could still alter outcomes.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$5,614Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Roraima gubernatorial race due to his decisive performance in the June 2026 supplemental election, where he captured over 60% of valid votes as the most-voted candidate despite a pending eligibility challenge over resignation timing from his prior role as Boa Vista mayor. Recent polls, including Quaest and Census surveys from late August, show him at 55-60% support against Soldado Sampaio (Republicanos), the interim governor and main rival, with remaining candidates below 2%. His established local base, prior reelection as mayor, and party backing contribute to the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. The October 4 first-round vote, with a possible runoff, remains the key resolution trigger; late developments such as court rulings on candidacy status or shifts in turnout could still alter outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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