**The Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented contest among the PQ, CAQ, PLQ, PCQ, and QS, with recent polls showing the PQ narrowly ahead but the CAQ closing ground amid U.S. tariff pressures and regional three-way races, particularly around Quebec City.** This competitiveness, combined with advance voting periods (September 27–28 and earlier options) and a new electoral map, introduces uncertainty over mobilization levels. Historical provincial turnout has trended downward to 66% in 2022 from higher rates in prior decades, influenced by declining civic duty among younger voters and varying engagement across francophone, anglophone/allophone, and Indigenous communities. The current multi-party dynamics and external catalysts like trade tensions could lift participation above recent averages if they heighten perceived stakes, while persistent regional divides or lower youth turnout might constrain it. Trader prices clustered tightly across 58–74%+ brackets reflect this balance of structural trends and short-term campaign factors without a dominant signal yet.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado58-62% 27%
70-74% 27%
62-66% 26%
74%+ 25%
NOVO
NOVO
5 out 2026
<58%
25%
58-62%
27%
62-66%
26%
66-70%
24%
70-74%
27%
74%+
25%
58-62% 27%
70-74% 27%
62-66% 26%
74%+ 25%
NOVO
NOVO
5 out 2026
<58%
$0 Vol.
25%
58-62%
$0 Vol.
27%
62-66%
$0 Vol.
26%
66-70%
$0 Vol.
24%
70-74%
$0 Vol.
27%
74%+
$0 Vol.
25%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**The Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented contest among the PQ, CAQ, PLQ, PCQ, and QS, with recent polls showing the PQ narrowly ahead but the CAQ closing ground amid U.S. tariff pressures and regional three-way races, particularly around Quebec City.** This competitiveness, combined with advance voting periods (September 27–28 and earlier options) and a new electoral map, introduces uncertainty over mobilization levels. Historical provincial turnout has trended downward to 66% in 2022 from higher rates in prior decades, influenced by declining civic duty among younger voters and varying engagement across francophone, anglophone/allophone, and Indigenous communities. The current multi-party dynamics and external catalysts like trade tensions could lift participation above recent averages if they heighten perceived stakes, while persistent regional divides or lower youth turnout might constrain it. Trader prices clustered tightly across 58–74%+ brackets reflect this balance of structural trends and short-term campaign factors without a dominant signal yet.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Volume
$0Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**The Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented contest among the PQ, CAQ, PLQ, PCQ, and QS, with recent polls showing the PQ narrowly ahead but the CAQ closing ground amid U.S. tariff pressures and regional three-way races, particularly around Quebec City.** This competitiveness, combined with advance voting periods (September 27–28 and earlier options) and a new electoral map, introduces uncertainty over mobilization levels. Historical provincial turnout has trended downward to 66% in 2022 from higher rates in prior decades, influenced by declining civic duty among younger voters and varying engagement across francophone, anglophone/allophone, and Indigenous communities. The current multi-party dynamics and external catalysts like trade tensions could lift participation above recent averages if they heighten perceived stakes, while persistent regional divides or lower youth turnout might constrain it. Trader prices clustered tightly across 58–74%+ brackets reflect this balance of structural trends and short-term campaign factors without a dominant signal yet.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$0Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETFonte de resolução
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The Quebec general election on October 5 features a fragmented contest among the PQ, CAQ, PLQ, PCQ, and QS, with recent polls showing the PQ narrowly ahead but the CAQ closing ground amid U.S. tariff pressures and regional three-way races, particularly around Quebec City.** This competitiveness, combined with advance voting periods (September 27–28 and earlier options) and a new electoral map, introduces uncertainty over mobilization levels. Historical provincial turnout has trended downward to 66% in 2022 from higher rates in prior decades, influenced by declining civic duty among younger voters and varying engagement across francophone, anglophone/allophone, and Indigenous communities. The current multi-party dynamics and external catalysts like trade tensions could lift participation above recent averages if they heighten perceived stakes, while persistent regional divides or lower youth turnout might constrain it. Trader prices clustered tightly across 58–74%+ brackets reflect this balance of structural trends and short-term campaign factors without a dominant signal yet.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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