Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District by defeating two-term incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 4 primary with 51.9% of the vote. The solidly Democratic Detroit-area seat, which includes much of the city and nearby suburbs, has consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak, a perennial candidate with a 2016 federal conviction for theft, faces structural barriers in a district rated as a safe Democratic hold. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with the general election on November 3 offering limited realistic paths for the Republican to close the gap absent unforeseen developments such as a late withdrawal or major legal issue.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMI-13 House Election Winner
MI-13 House Election Winner
$49,552 Vol.
$49,552 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Donavan McKinney (D)
97%
T.P. Nykoriak (R)
<1%
$49,552 Vol.
$49,552 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Donavan McKinney (D)
$29,313 Vol.
97%
T.P. Nykoriak (R)
$20,239 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District by defeating two-term incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 4 primary with 51.9% of the vote. The solidly Democratic Detroit-area seat, which includes much of the city and nearby suburbs, has consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak, a perennial candidate with a 2016 federal conviction for theft, faces structural barriers in a district rated as a safe Democratic hold. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with the general election on November 3 offering limited realistic paths for the Republican to close the gap absent unforeseen developments such as a late withdrawal or major legal issue.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$49,552End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District by defeating two-term incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 4 primary with 51.9% of the vote. The solidly Democratic Detroit-area seat, which includes much of the city and nearby suburbs, has consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak, a perennial candidate with a 2016 federal conviction for theft, faces structural barriers in a district rated as a safe Democratic hold. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with the general election on November 3 offering limited realistic paths for the Republican to close the gap absent unforeseen developments such as a late withdrawal or major legal issue.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,552End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District by defeating two-term incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 4 primary with 51.9% of the vote. The solidly Democratic Detroit-area seat, which includes much of the city and nearby suburbs, has consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Republican nominee T.P. Nykoriak, a perennial candidate with a 2016 federal conviction for theft, faces structural barriers in a district rated as a safe Democratic hold. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, with the general election on November 3 offering limited realistic paths for the Republican to close the gap absent unforeseen developments such as a late withdrawal or major legal issue.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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