Trader consensus shows a tight contest between no Trump-Putin meeting by December 31 and a summit in China, driven by uncertainty over U.S.-Russia bilateral engagement amid the Ukraine conflict and shifting diplomatic priorities. Primary factors include the status of sanctions, potential multilateral forums or third-party hosts, and each leader's domestic and alliance constraints. Recent statements on negotiations, territorial disputes, and possible high-level contacts have sustained volatility without clear separation. Scheduled international gatherings or policy shifts within the resolution window could tip probabilities toward a specific venue or reinforce the no-meeting outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of geopolitical barriers and opportunities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 50%
China 41%
Russia 3.1%
Belarus 2.1%
$782,482 Vol.
$782,482 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
50%
China
41%
Russia
3%
Belarus
2%
Turkey
2%
United States
1%
Switzerland
1%
Other
1%
Gulf country
<1%
Finland
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Australia
<1%
Japan
<1%
No meeting by December 31 50%
China 41%
Russia 3.1%
Belarus 2.1%
$782,482 Vol.
$782,482 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
$150,010 Vol.
50%
China
$99,107 Vol.
41%
Russia
$88,405 Vol.
3%
Belarus
$39,815 Vol.
2%
Turkey
$37,177 Vol.
2%
United States
$42,933 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$40,939 Vol.
1%
Other
$28,659 Vol.
1%
Gulf country
$28,489 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$36,781 Vol.
<1%
Other EU country
$34,052 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$25,606 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$45,393 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$45,620 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$39,496 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus shows a tight contest between no Trump-Putin meeting by December 31 and a summit in China, driven by uncertainty over U.S.-Russia bilateral engagement amid the Ukraine conflict and shifting diplomatic priorities. Primary factors include the status of sanctions, potential multilateral forums or third-party hosts, and each leader's domestic and alliance constraints. Recent statements on negotiations, territorial disputes, and possible high-level contacts have sustained volatility without clear separation. Scheduled international gatherings or policy shifts within the resolution window could tip probabilities toward a specific venue or reinforce the no-meeting outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of geopolitical barriers and opportunities.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$782,482End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus shows a tight contest between no Trump-Putin meeting by December 31 and a summit in China, driven by uncertainty over U.S.-Russia bilateral engagement amid the Ukraine conflict and shifting diplomatic priorities. Primary factors include the status of sanctions, potential multilateral forums or third-party hosts, and each leader's domestic and alliance constraints. Recent statements on negotiations, territorial disputes, and possible high-level contacts have sustained volatility without clear separation. Scheduled international gatherings or policy shifts within the resolution window could tip probabilities toward a specific venue or reinforce the no-meeting outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of geopolitical barriers and opportunities.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$782,482End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows a tight contest between no Trump-Putin meeting by December 31 and a summit in China, driven by uncertainty over U.S.-Russia bilateral engagement amid the Ukraine conflict and shifting diplomatic priorities. Primary factors include the status of sanctions, potential multilateral forums or third-party hosts, and each leader's domestic and alliance constraints. Recent statements on negotiations, territorial disputes, and possible high-level contacts have sustained volatility without clear separation. Scheduled international gatherings or policy shifts within the resolution window could tip probabilities toward a specific venue or reinforce the no-meeting outcome, reflecting traders' assessment of geopolitical barriers and opportunities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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