Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan initiated the first-ever impeachment process against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over a constitutional dispute, after Premier Cho Jung-tai refused to countersign an opposition-backed revenue-sharing bill that would redirect central funds to local governments. The KMT and TPP secured a simple majority to start proceedings and held inquiries, but the May 19, 2026 floor vote ended 56-50 in favor—well short of the two-thirds supermajority (76 of 113 seats) required to refer the matter to the Constitutional Court for final approval. Opposition parties hold roughly 62 seats, creating a structural barrier that has persisted amid ongoing executive-legislative tensions. No new impeachment motion has advanced since the failed vote, and scheduled local elections in November 2026 represent the next potential shift in legislative balance. Trader consensus reflects these high procedural thresholds and recent outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLai Ching-te impeached by...?
Lai Ching-te impeached by...?
$1,358,983 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
3%
$1,358,983 Vol.
December 31
$288 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan initiated the first-ever impeachment process against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over a constitutional dispute, after Premier Cho Jung-tai refused to countersign an opposition-backed revenue-sharing bill that would redirect central funds to local governments. The KMT and TPP secured a simple majority to start proceedings and held inquiries, but the May 19, 2026 floor vote ended 56-50 in favor—well short of the two-thirds supermajority (76 of 113 seats) required to refer the matter to the Constitutional Court for final approval. Opposition parties hold roughly 62 seats, creating a structural barrier that has persisted amid ongoing executive-legislative tensions. No new impeachment motion has advanced since the failed vote, and scheduled local elections in November 2026 represent the next potential shift in legislative balance. Trader consensus reflects these high procedural thresholds and recent outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ET
Volume
$1,358,983End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan initiated the first-ever impeachment process against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over a constitutional dispute, after Premier Cho Jung-tai refused to countersign an opposition-backed revenue-sharing bill that would redirect central funds to local governments. The KMT and TPP secured a simple majority to start proceedings and held inquiries, but the May 19, 2026 floor vote ended 56-50 in favor—well short of the two-thirds supermajority (76 of 113 seats) required to refer the matter to the Constitutional Court for final approval. Opposition parties hold roughly 62 seats, creating a structural barrier that has persisted amid ongoing executive-legislative tensions. No new impeachment motion has advanced since the failed vote, and scheduled local elections in November 2026 represent the next potential shift in legislative balance. Trader consensus reflects these high procedural thresholds and recent outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$1,358,983End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jun 30, 2026, 7:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's opposition-controlled Legislative Yuan initiated the first-ever impeachment process against President Lai Ching-te in December 2025 over a constitutional dispute, after Premier Cho Jung-tai refused to countersign an opposition-backed revenue-sharing bill that would redirect central funds to local governments. The KMT and TPP secured a simple majority to start proceedings and held inquiries, but the May 19, 2026 floor vote ended 56-50 in favor—well short of the two-thirds supermajority (76 of 113 seats) required to refer the matter to the Constitutional Court for final approval. Opposition parties hold roughly 62 seats, creating a structural barrier that has persisted amid ongoing executive-legislative tensions. No new impeachment motion has advanced since the failed vote, and scheduled local elections in November 2026 represent the next potential shift in legislative balance. Trader consensus reflects these high procedural thresholds and recent outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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