Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters and a partisan voter index favoring the GOP. Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination after winning the August 2026 special primary by a wide margin, leveraging prior congressional experience and name recognition in the redrawn district that includes Mobile and Baldwin counties. Democrat Clyde Jones faces the general election without primary opposition but operates in a low-turnout environment where Republican voter registration and historical margins limit competitive paths. Recent map adjustments and primary consolidation further consolidated Republican advantages. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera AL-01
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera AL-01
$47,741 Vol.
$47,741 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jerry Carl (R)
95%
Clyde Jones Jr. (D)
2%
$47,741 Vol.
$47,741 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jerry Carl (R)
$21,355 Vol.
95%
Clyde Jones Jr. (D)
$26,386 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters and a partisan voter index favoring the GOP. Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination after winning the August 2026 special primary by a wide margin, leveraging prior congressional experience and name recognition in the redrawn district that includes Mobile and Baldwin counties. Democrat Clyde Jones faces the general election without primary opposition but operates in a low-turnout environment where Republican voter registration and historical margins limit competitive paths. Recent map adjustments and primary consolidation further consolidated Republican advantages. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Volume
$47,741Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters and a partisan voter index favoring the GOP. Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination after winning the August 2026 special primary by a wide margin, leveraging prior congressional experience and name recognition in the redrawn district that includes Mobile and Baldwin counties. Democrat Clyde Jones faces the general election without primary opposition but operates in a low-turnout environment where Republican voter registration and historical margins limit competitive paths. Recent map adjustments and primary consolidation further consolidated Republican advantages. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$47,741Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters and a partisan voter index favoring the GOP. Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination after winning the August 2026 special primary by a wide margin, leveraging prior congressional experience and name recognition in the redrawn district that includes Mobile and Baldwin counties. Democrat Clyde Jones faces the general election without primary opposition but operates in a low-turnout environment where Republican voter registration and historical margins limit competitive paths. Recent map adjustments and primary consolidation further consolidated Republican advantages. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the nominee, or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain uncommon in this district.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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