Recent Quaest polling shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 19% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 14%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 12% each. Separate first- and second-vote scenarios remain close within margins of error, reflecting name recognition, party coalitions, and regional voting patterns that have sustained narrow leads or technical ties across multiple surveys since June. Cameli’s resignation as governor and ongoing legal challenges have introduced additional uncertainty, while the official campaign period only began in mid-August. Traders price the second-place outcome as tightly contested because no single contender has established a durable advantage, and late shifts in alliances or turnout among key blocs could readily alter the ranking ahead of the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMarcio Bittar 35.1%
Mara Rocha 35%
Jorge Viana 16.1%
Gladson Camelí 14%
$30,084 Vol.
$30,084 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
35%
Mara Rocha
35%
Jorge Viana
11%
Gladson Camelí
14%
Petecão
6%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
<1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
<1%
Marcio Bittar 35.1%
Mara Rocha 35%
Jorge Viana 16.1%
Gladson Camelí 14%
$30,084 Vol.
$30,084 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Marcio Bittar
$4,116 Vol.
35%
Mara Rocha
$12,377 Vol.
35%
Jorge Viana
$707 Vol.
11%
Gladson Camelí
$9,962 Vol.
14%
Petecão
$1,493 Vol.
6%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
$539 Vol.
<1%
Professor Inacio Moreira
$431 Vol.
<1%
Eduardo Velloso
$459 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 19% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 14%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 12% each. Separate first- and second-vote scenarios remain close within margins of error, reflecting name recognition, party coalitions, and regional voting patterns that have sustained narrow leads or technical ties across multiple surveys since June. Cameli’s resignation as governor and ongoing legal challenges have introduced additional uncertainty, while the official campaign period only began in mid-August. Traders price the second-place outcome as tightly contested because no single contender has established a durable advantage, and late shifts in alliances or turnout among key blocs could readily alter the ranking ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET
Volume
$30,084End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 19% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 14%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 12% each. Separate first- and second-vote scenarios remain close within margins of error, reflecting name recognition, party coalitions, and regional voting patterns that have sustained narrow leads or technical ties across multiple surveys since June. Cameli’s resignation as governor and ongoing legal challenges have introduced additional uncertainty, while the official campaign period only began in mid-August. Traders price the second-place outcome as tightly contested because no single contender has established a durable advantage, and late shifts in alliances or turnout among key blocs could readily alter the ranking ahead of the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$30,084End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Quaest polling shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 19% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 14%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 12% each. Separate first- and second-vote scenarios remain close within margins of error, reflecting name recognition, party coalitions, and regional voting patterns that have sustained narrow leads or technical ties across multiple surveys since June. Cameli’s resignation as governor and ongoing legal challenges have introduced additional uncertainty, while the official campaign period only began in mid-August. Traders price the second-place outcome as tightly contested because no single contender has established a durable advantage, and late shifts in alliances or turnout among key blocs could readily alter the ranking ahead of the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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