California's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+36 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical margins exceeding 60 points. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat for the 2026 cycle, but the June 2 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—Scott Wiener and Connie Chan—to the November general election, with Republican candidates receiving under 6% combined. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus on Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. A Republican win would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or a late-breaking development altering the district's established voting patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$21,768 Vol.
$21,768 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
98%
共和党
1%
$21,768 Vol.
$21,768 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$14,980 Vol.
98%
共和党
$6,788 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+36 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical margins exceeding 60 points. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat for the 2026 cycle, but the June 2 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—Scott Wiener and Connie Chan—to the November general election, with Republican candidates receiving under 6% combined. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus on Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. A Republican win would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or a late-breaking development altering the district's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
音量
$21,768終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+36 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical margins exceeding 60 points. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat for the 2026 cycle, but the June 2 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—Scott Wiener and Connie Chan—to the November general election, with Republican candidates receiving under 6% combined. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus on Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. A Republican win would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or a late-breaking development altering the district's established voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$21,768終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...California's 11th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in its D+36 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent historical margins exceeding 60 points. Nancy Pelosi's retirement opened the seat for the 2026 cycle, but the June 2 top-two primary advanced two Democrats—Scott Wiener and Connie Chan—to the November general election, with Republican candidates receiving under 6% combined. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus on Democratic victory aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive Republican challengers. A Republican win would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or a late-breaking development altering the district's established voting patterns.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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