Incumbent Republican Mike Haridopolos holds a commanding position in Florida’s 8th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s strong Republican consensus. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican following Florida’s mid-decade redistricting, which produced a map favoring the party statewide. The district delivered a double-digit margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024, and recent polling shows Haridopolos ahead by double digits against Democrat Jennifer Jenkins, supported by substantial fundraising and name recognition advantages. Both party primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified. A late national Democratic surge, major candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the gap, though structural and polling data indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$29,370 Vol.
$29,370 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイク・ハリドポロス（共和党）
93%
ジェニファー・ジェンキンス（民主党）
8%
$29,370 Vol.
$29,370 Vol.
2026/11/02
マイク・ハリドポロス（共和党）
$13,681 Vol.
93%
ジェニファー・ジェンキンス（民主党）
$15,689 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Haridopolos holds a commanding position in Florida’s 8th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s strong Republican consensus. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican following Florida’s mid-decade redistricting, which produced a map favoring the party statewide. The district delivered a double-digit margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024, and recent polling shows Haridopolos ahead by double digits against Democrat Jennifer Jenkins, supported by substantial fundraising and name recognition advantages. Both party primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified. A late national Democratic surge, major candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the gap, though structural and polling data indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$29,370終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Haridopolos holds a commanding position in Florida’s 8th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s strong Republican consensus. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican following Florida’s mid-decade redistricting, which produced a map favoring the party statewide. The district delivered a double-digit margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024, and recent polling shows Haridopolos ahead by double digits against Democrat Jennifer Jenkins, supported by substantial fundraising and name recognition advantages. Both party primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified. A late national Democratic surge, major candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the gap, though structural and polling data indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$29,370終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Haridopolos holds a commanding position in Florida’s 8th congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in the market’s strong Republican consensus. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Republican following Florida’s mid-decade redistricting, which produced a map favoring the party statewide. The district delivered a double-digit margin for the Republican presidential nominee in 2024, and recent polling shows Haridopolos ahead by double digits against Democrat Jennifer Jenkins, supported by substantial fundraising and name recognition advantages. Both party primaries were canceled after single candidates qualified. A late national Democratic surge, major candidate-specific developments, or unusually high turnout shifts could narrow the gap, though structural and polling data indicate limited realistic pathways for an upset.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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