Judy Chu's dominant position in the CA-28 House race stems from the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in voter registration and recent presidential margins, combined with her established incumbency and decisive primary performance of over 62 percent against limited opposition. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, aligning with trader consensus that views an upset as highly improbable given fundraising disparities and the absence of competitive Republican momentum. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in the San Bernardino County portion of the district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$141,309 Vol.
$141,309 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジュディ・チュー（民主党）
98%
エイプリル・ヴェルラト（共和党）
1%
$141,309 Vol.
$141,309 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジュディ・チュー（民主党）
$58,313 Vol.
98%
エイプリル・ヴェルラト（共和党）
$82,996 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Judy Chu's dominant position in the CA-28 House race stems from the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in voter registration and recent presidential margins, combined with her established incumbency and decisive primary performance of over 62 percent against limited opposition. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, aligning with trader consensus that views an upset as highly improbable given fundraising disparities and the absence of competitive Republican momentum. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in the San Bernardino County portion of the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$141,309終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Judy Chu's dominant position in the CA-28 House race stems from the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in voter registration and recent presidential margins, combined with her established incumbency and decisive primary performance of over 62 percent against limited opposition. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, aligning with trader consensus that views an upset as highly improbable given fundraising disparities and the absence of competitive Republican momentum. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in the San Bernardino County portion of the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$141,309終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Judy Chu's dominant position in the CA-28 House race stems from the district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in voter registration and recent presidential margins, combined with her established incumbency and decisive primary performance of over 62 percent against limited opposition. All major forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election, aligning with trader consensus that views an upset as highly improbable given fundraising disparities and the absence of competitive Republican momentum. Scenarios that could still shift probabilities include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or unusually high Republican turnout in the San Bernardino County portion of the district.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問