Jacqui Irwin holds a commanding lead in the California 26th congressional district race due to the area's established Democratic tilt, her strong June primary performance, and endorsements from retiring incumbent Julia Brownley along with state party leadership. As a sitting state assemblymember with local roots and fundraising dominance, Irwin benefits from the district's partisan composition and voter base in Ventura County and surrounding areas. Forecasters rate the seat solid Democratic ahead of the November general election against Republican challenger Sam Gallucci. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or candidate-specific events could still influence the final margin in this open-seat contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$32,175 Vol.
$32,175 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジャッキー・アーウィン（民主党）
95%
サム・ガルッチ（共和党）
6%
$32,175 Vol.
$32,175 Vol.
2026/11/02
ジャッキー・アーウィン（民主党）
$16,426 Vol.
95%
サム・ガルッチ（共和党）
$15,749 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin holds a commanding lead in the California 26th congressional district race due to the area's established Democratic tilt, her strong June primary performance, and endorsements from retiring incumbent Julia Brownley along with state party leadership. As a sitting state assemblymember with local roots and fundraising dominance, Irwin benefits from the district's partisan composition and voter base in Ventura County and surrounding areas. Forecasters rate the seat solid Democratic ahead of the November general election against Republican challenger Sam Gallucci. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or candidate-specific events could still influence the final margin in this open-seat contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
音量
$32,175終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jacqui Irwin holds a commanding lead in the California 26th congressional district race due to the area's established Democratic tilt, her strong June primary performance, and endorsements from retiring incumbent Julia Brownley along with state party leadership. As a sitting state assemblymember with local roots and fundraising dominance, Irwin benefits from the district's partisan composition and voter base in Ventura County and surrounding areas. Forecasters rate the seat solid Democratic ahead of the November general election against Republican challenger Sam Gallucci. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or candidate-specific events could still influence the final margin in this open-seat contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$32,175終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Jacqui Irwin holds a commanding lead in the California 26th congressional district race due to the area's established Democratic tilt, her strong June primary performance, and endorsements from retiring incumbent Julia Brownley along with state party leadership. As a sitting state assemblymember with local roots and fundraising dominance, Irwin benefits from the district's partisan composition and voter base in Ventura County and surrounding areas. Forecasters rate the seat solid Democratic ahead of the November general election against Republican challenger Sam Gallucci. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural factors, though late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts or candidate-specific events could still influence the final margin in this open-seat contest.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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