Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 50th congressional district with roughly 48% of the vote, ahead of Republican challenger Steve Cohen at about 40%. The district, redrawn under 2025's Proposition 50, retains a Democratic lean despite a modest reduction in the party's registration edge. Nonpartisan forecasts from the Cook Political Report and similar outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Peters maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from incumbency advantages in a San Diego-area constituency that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Cohen, a former local news executive, has secured Republican endorsements but trails significantly in resources and polling positioning. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though an unforeseen scandal or national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$64,386 Vol.
$64,386 Vol.
2026/11/02
スコット・ピーターズ（民主党）
96%
スティーブ・コーエン（共和党）
5%
$64,386 Vol.
$64,386 Vol.
2026/11/02
スコット・ピーターズ（民主党）
$38,700 Vol.
96%
スティーブ・コーエン（共和党）
$25,686 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 50th congressional district with roughly 48% of the vote, ahead of Republican challenger Steve Cohen at about 40%. The district, redrawn under 2025's Proposition 50, retains a Democratic lean despite a modest reduction in the party's registration edge. Nonpartisan forecasts from the Cook Political Report and similar outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Peters maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from incumbency advantages in a San Diego-area constituency that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Cohen, a former local news executive, has secured Republican endorsements but trails significantly in resources and polling positioning. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though an unforeseen scandal or national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$64,386終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 50th congressional district with roughly 48% of the vote, ahead of Republican challenger Steve Cohen at about 40%. The district, redrawn under 2025's Proposition 50, retains a Democratic lean despite a modest reduction in the party's registration edge. Nonpartisan forecasts from the Cook Political Report and similar outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Peters maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from incumbency advantages in a San Diego-area constituency that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Cohen, a former local news executive, has secured Republican endorsements but trails significantly in resources and polling positioning. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though an unforeseen scandal or national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$64,386終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 50th congressional district with roughly 48% of the vote, ahead of Republican challenger Steve Cohen at about 40%. The district, redrawn under 2025's Proposition 50, retains a Democratic lean despite a modest reduction in the party's registration edge. Nonpartisan forecasts from the Cook Political Report and similar outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Peters maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from incumbency advantages in a San Diego-area constituency that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Cohen, a former local news executive, has secured Republican endorsements but trails significantly in resources and polling positioning. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though an unforeseen scandal or national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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