Florida's 21st congressional district carries a Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from forecasters. Incumbent Brian Mast benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $4 million, and an uncontested Republican primary ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democratic nominee James Martin, who edged out his primary opponent, faces structural headwinds in a district Mast carried by double digits in 2024. Trader consensus pricing Mast near 93% aligns with these baseline advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic momentum could narrow the gap, though none have materialized to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,482 Vol.
$14,482 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブライアン・マスト（共和党）
93%
ジェームズ・マーティン（民主党）
7%
$14,482 Vol.
$14,482 Vol.
2026/11/02
ブライアン・マスト（共和党）
$8,469 Vol.
93%
ジェームズ・マーティン（民主党）
$6,013 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 21st congressional district carries a Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from forecasters. Incumbent Brian Mast benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $4 million, and an uncontested Republican primary ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democratic nominee James Martin, who edged out his primary opponent, faces structural headwinds in a district Mast carried by double digits in 2024. Trader consensus pricing Mast near 93% aligns with these baseline advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic momentum could narrow the gap, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
音量
$14,482終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 21st congressional district carries a Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from forecasters. Incumbent Brian Mast benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $4 million, and an uncontested Republican primary ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democratic nominee James Martin, who edged out his primary opponent, faces structural headwinds in a district Mast carried by double digits in 2024. Trader consensus pricing Mast near 93% aligns with these baseline advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic momentum could narrow the gap, though none have materialized to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,482終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 21st congressional district carries a Republican lean reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent ratings of Solid or Safe Republican from forecasters. Incumbent Brian Mast benefits from strong name recognition, substantial fundraising exceeding $4 million, and an uncontested Republican primary ahead of the November 2026 general election. Democratic nominee James Martin, who edged out his primary opponent, faces structural headwinds in a district Mast carried by double digits in 2024. Trader consensus pricing Mast near 93% aligns with these baseline advantages and the absence of recent polling or events indicating a competitive shift. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic momentum could narrow the gap, though none have materialized to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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