Redistricting following a court ruling created Utah’s 1st Congressional District as a Democratic-leaning seat anchored in Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris carried the area by 24 points in 2024. Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with a clear majority over progressive challengers, drawing on his prior congressional service and local executive experience while maintaining a substantial fundraising lead. Riley Owen, the Republican nominee and former White House policy analyst, faces structural disadvantages in the open seat. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns McAdams a commanding implied probability. Potential shifts remain possible from major late-cycle developments such as scandals, health events, or turnout surprises before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$42,110 Vol.
$42,110 Vol.
2026/11/03
ベン・マカダムス（民主党）
95%
ライリー・オーウェン（共和党）
4%
$42,110 Vol.
$42,110 Vol.
2026/11/03
ベン・マカダムス（民主党）
$5,649 Vol.
95%
ライリー・オーウェン（共和党）
$36,462 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following a court ruling created Utah’s 1st Congressional District as a Democratic-leaning seat anchored in Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris carried the area by 24 points in 2024. Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with a clear majority over progressive challengers, drawing on his prior congressional service and local executive experience while maintaining a substantial fundraising lead. Riley Owen, the Republican nominee and former White House policy analyst, faces structural disadvantages in the open seat. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns McAdams a commanding implied probability. Potential shifts remain possible from major late-cycle developments such as scandals, health events, or turnout surprises before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
音量
$42,110終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting following a court ruling created Utah’s 1st Congressional District as a Democratic-leaning seat anchored in Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris carried the area by 24 points in 2024. Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with a clear majority over progressive challengers, drawing on his prior congressional service and local executive experience while maintaining a substantial fundraising lead. Riley Owen, the Republican nominee and former White House policy analyst, faces structural disadvantages in the open seat. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns McAdams a commanding implied probability. Potential shifts remain possible from major late-cycle developments such as scandals, health events, or turnout surprises before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$42,110終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting following a court ruling created Utah’s 1st Congressional District as a Democratic-leaning seat anchored in Salt Lake County, where Kamala Harris carried the area by 24 points in 2024. Ben McAdams secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2026 primary with a clear majority over progressive challengers, drawing on his prior congressional service and local executive experience while maintaining a substantial fundraising lead. Riley Owen, the Republican nominee and former White House policy analyst, faces structural disadvantages in the open seat. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic, aligning with trader consensus that assigns McAdams a commanding implied probability. Potential shifts remain possible from major late-cycle developments such as scandals, health events, or turnout surprises before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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