Delaware’s at-large congressional district has shown consistent Democratic strength in recent cycles, with incumbent Sarah McBride securing the seat in 2024 by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings classify the 2026 race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the state’s partisan lean and limited Republican infrastructure. McBride faces no primary opposition after the Democratic filing deadline, while multiple Republican candidates compete in their September 15 primary without demonstrated statewide viability. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic incorporates these structural factors and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape before the November 3 general election. A late scandal, unexpected health event, or unusually sharp national partisan shift remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$43,260 Vol.
$43,260 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
95%
共和党
5%
$43,260 Vol.
$43,260 Vol.
2026/11/02
民主党
$5,359 Vol.
95%
共和党
$37,900 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district has shown consistent Democratic strength in recent cycles, with incumbent Sarah McBride securing the seat in 2024 by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings classify the 2026 race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the state’s partisan lean and limited Republican infrastructure. McBride faces no primary opposition after the Democratic filing deadline, while multiple Republican candidates compete in their September 15 primary without demonstrated statewide viability. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic incorporates these structural factors and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape before the November 3 general election. A late scandal, unexpected health event, or unusually sharp national partisan shift remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$43,260終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district has shown consistent Democratic strength in recent cycles, with incumbent Sarah McBride securing the seat in 2024 by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings classify the 2026 race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the state’s partisan lean and limited Republican infrastructure. McBride faces no primary opposition after the Democratic filing deadline, while multiple Republican candidates compete in their September 15 primary without demonstrated statewide viability. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic incorporates these structural factors and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape before the November 3 general election. A late scandal, unexpected health event, or unusually sharp national partisan shift remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$43,260終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware’s at-large congressional district has shown consistent Democratic strength in recent cycles, with incumbent Sarah McBride securing the seat in 2024 by double digits. Nonpartisan ratings classify the 2026 race as Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting the state’s partisan lean and limited Republican infrastructure. McBride faces no primary opposition after the Democratic filing deadline, while multiple Republican candidates compete in their September 15 primary without demonstrated statewide viability. Trader consensus at 94.5% Democratic incorporates these structural factors and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive landscape before the November 3 general election. A late scandal, unexpected health event, or unusually sharp national partisan shift remain the primary scenarios that could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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